Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Hunter Henry is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 3 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 3%, the price says 9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 6:22AM UTC
NFL
Hunter Henry
NE
Hunter Henry has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
Value call
Pittsburgh Steelers
@
New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Henry caught three of five targets for 40 yards in the Patriots' 20-3 win over the Steelers on Sunday.
updated Sep 21, 2:20AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
3 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 3.0% · before adjusting for past results 18.1% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap -6.1%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 18.1% | 3.0% | 9.1% | 11.00 | +9.0% |
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Hunter Henry (NE) Yes Player last td (+1000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New England Patriots play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Hunter Henry (NE) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $110 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD15 lines trackedNo line posted
45%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked15
Hunter Henry's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 15 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 45%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards16 lines trackedNo line posted 39.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–49.5model over68%tips tracked16
Hunter Henry's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 16 times, typically around a 39.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions7 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5model over96%tips tracked7
Hunter Henry's NFL receptions prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Hunter Henry (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hunter Henry is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots on Sunday 20 September at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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