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Today's ATP Picks — Free Picks for Today's Matches

Free ATP picks across Match Winner, set betting, totals, handicaps and player props. Every pick shows how likely it is, the best price on offer, and the reasoning behind it — in plain English.

14 matches today, and the first pick of every match is free

The one we'd back today · Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lloyd Harris
Stefanos Tsitsipas at Lloyd Harris: Under Total Games 40 (Under 40 total games) +103
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.9%
$50 returns$101.50
The rest of today's boardfull reasoning on each game below
Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lloyd HarrisStefanos Tsitsipas v Lloyd Harris Stefanos Tsitsipas at Lloyd Harris: Under Total Games 40 (Under 40 total games) High63% chance +103
Kamil Majchrzak v Valentin VacherotKamil Majchrzak v Valentin Vacherot Kamil Majchrzak at Valentin Vacherot: Under Total Games 41.5 (Under 41.5 total games) High69% chance -120
Frances Tiafoe v Rei SakamotoFrances Tiafoe v Rei Sakamoto Frances Tiafoe at Rei Sakamoto: Under Total Games 37 (Under 37 total games) Lean58% chance +108
Carlos Alcaraz v Jaime FariaCarlos Alcaraz v Jaime Faria Carlos Alcaraz at Jaime Faria: Under Total Games 34.5 (Under 34.5 total games) High68% chance -120
Lorenzo Musetti v Dane SweenyLorenzo Musetti v Dane Sweeny Lorenzo Musetti at Dane Sweeny: Dane Sweeny Spread 8.5 (Dane Sweeny +8.5 games handicap) High74% chance +115
Dalibor Svrcina v Luciano DarderiDalibor Svrcina v Luciano Darderi Dalibor Svrcina Moneyline High72% chance +135
Alejandro Tabilo v Alexei PopyrinAlejandro Tabilo v Alexei Popyrin Alexei Popyrin Moneyline High73% chance +127
Flavio Cobolli v Tristan SchoolkateFlavio Cobolli v Tristan Schoolkate Flavio Cobolli at Tristan Schoolkate: Tristan Schoolkate Spread 3.5 (Tristan Schoolkate +3.5 games handicap) Lean54% chance +210
Learner Tien v Gael MonfilsLearner Tien v Gael Monfils Learner Tien at Gael Monfils: Gael Monfils Spread 6 (Gael Monfils +6 games handicap) High69% chance +113
Jurij Rodionov v Jakub MensikJurij Rodionov v Jakub Mensik Jurij Rodionov at Jakub Mensik: Jurij Rodionov Spread 6 (Jurij Rodionov +6 games handicap) Lean57% chance +151
Quentin Halys v Alexander ZverevQuentin Halys v Alexander Zverev Quentin Halys at Alexander Zverev: Under Total Games 37.5 (Under 37.5 total games) High64% chance +102
Francisco Cerundolo v Jan-Lennard StruffFrancisco Cerundolo v Jan-Lennard Struff Francisco Cerundolo at Jan-Lennard Struff: Under Total Games 38.5 (Under 38.5 total games) High66% chance -118
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
177 more picks for today
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ATPStefanos Tsitsipas vs. Lloyd Harris 2026-09-02 20:30
vs.
Home Lloyd Harris
Show Picks
Stefanos Tsitsipas at Lloyd Harris: Under Total Games 40 (Under 40 total games)
Chance to win 62.9%
The price says 49.3%
Best price +103

Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: Under 40 Total Games (+103)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Lloyd Harris has been playing well lately, and his matches often stay under the radar. When he faces Stefanos Tsitsipas, we think the total games will be under 40. Our numbers show there's a good chance for this bet, with a combined total expected around 37.8 games. Both players have strong serves, which can lead to quick games and fewer rallies. However, Tsitsipas can be unpredictable at times, which makes this a little risky. Still, with the way these two are playing, under 40 games seems like a solid choice.

Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.6%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.8%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 53.2%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 31.7%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 62.1%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 87.0%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 96.2%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 40.0%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 39.4%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 41.2%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 76.3%
Lloyd Harris vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 43.5%
ATPKamil Majchrzak vs. Valentin Vacherot 2026-09-02 20:50
Kamil Majchrzak Away
vs.
Show Picks
Kamil Majchrzak at Valentin Vacherot: Under Total Games 41.5 (Under 41.5 total games)
Chance to win 69.3%
The price says 54.6%
Best price -120

Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak: Under 41.5 Total Games (-120)

Odds available at fanatics at time of publishing

Valentin Vacherot and Kamil Majchrzak are both solid players, but they often keep their matches short. Our numbers suggest the combined total games will be around 37, which is well below the 41.5 line. Vacherot has a knack for closing out sets quickly, so this bet looks promising given their playing styles. A key risk is that both players are evenly matched, so it could lead to longer rallies. However, with the way they've been playing lately, we're confident they won't drag the match on too long. Taking the under on total games seems like a smart choice here.

Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 45.5%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 42.6%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 35.7%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 43.5%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 43.9%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 46.7%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 48.8%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 85.5%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 55.6%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 54.9%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 63.7%
Valentin Vacherot vs. Kamil Majchrzak — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 96.2%
ATPFrances Tiafoe vs. Rei Sakamoto 2026-09-02 23:00
Frances Tiafoe Away
vs.
Home Rei Sakamoto
Show Picks
Frances Tiafoe at Rei Sakamoto: Under Total Games 37 (Under 37 total games)
Chance to win 58.2%
The price says 48.1%
Best price +108

Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoe: Under 37 Total Games (+108)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

For this match, we need both Rei Sakamoto and Frances Tiafoe to play a tight, quick game with less than 37 total games. Looking at their past performances, it seems likely they could keep it under that number. Our model predicts a combined total of about 36.8 games, which is just below the line we're betting on. One thing to watch is how closely matched these two players are, making it tough to predict exactly how many games will happen. If they both find their rhythm, it could stretch the game longer than expected. But given the odds and what our numbers suggest, this bet has a good chance of hitting.

Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 51.3%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.8%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 53.2%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 83.3%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 95.2%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 59.9%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 41.3%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 45.2%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 59.9%
Rei Sakamoto vs. Frances Tiafoe — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.8%
ATPCarlos Alcaraz vs. Jaime Faria 2026-09-03 00:10
Carlos Alcaraz Away
vs.
Home Jaime Faria
Show Picks
Carlos Alcaraz at Jaime Faria: Under Total Games 34.5 (Under 34.5 total games)
Chance to win 68.3%
The price says 54.6%
Best price -120

Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz: Under 34.5 Total Games (-120)

Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing

The odds for this match are set at -120 for a total of under 34.5 games, which looks promising. Our numbers show a good chance of this happening, with an expected combined total of about 32.5 games for Jaime Faria and Carlos Alcaraz. Both players have strong serves, which could lead to quicker games. However, Faria might struggle against Alcaraz's powerful returns, which could bring the total closer to 34.5. Just remember, while it looks favorable, it's always possible to see a longer match than expected.

Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.2%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 54.1%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 51.3%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 35.7%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 36.9%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.3%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 35.7%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 85.5%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 76.9%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 80.6%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 80.6%
Jaime Faria vs. Carlos Alcaraz — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 95.2%
ATPLorenzo Musetti vs. Dane Sweeny 2026-09-03 15:00
Lorenzo Musetti Away
vs.
Home Dane Sweeny
Show Picks
Lorenzo Musetti at Dane Sweeny: Dane Sweeny Spread 8.5 (Dane Sweeny +8.5 games handicap)
Chance to win 74.4%
The price says 46.5%
Best price +115

Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti: Dane Sweeny 8.5 Game Handicap (+115)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Dane Sweeny is playing at home, which often gives players a boost. He faces Lorenzo Musetti, who can be tough but has had some ups and downs lately. Our numbers suggest Sweeny has a good chance to keep the match close, and betting on him with a handicap of 8.5 seems promising. The biggest risk here is that Musetti has the skills to pull away if he finds his rhythm. Still, Sweeny's home advantage and the good rating on this bet make it worth considering.

Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 27.8%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 59.9%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 73.5%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 51.8%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 58.8%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 64.1%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 55.2%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 64.9%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 41.7%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 83.3%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 99.0%
Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 5.6%
ATPDalibor Svrcina vs. Luciano Darderi 2026-09-03 15:00
Dalibor Svrcina Away
vs.
Home Luciano Darderi
Show Picks
Dalibor Svrcina Moneyline
Chance to win 72.0%
The price says 42.6%
Best price +135

Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina: Dalibor Svrcina to win the match (+135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Luciano Darderi faces Dalibor Svrcina at US Open on Thursday 3 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Dalibor Svrcina wins the match. It was priced at +135 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. The bet we are looking at is Dalibor Svrcina to win the match. That is a match winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 54.1%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.3%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.6%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 53.2%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 76.9%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 91.7%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 53.5%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 46.7%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 48.5%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 45.5%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.5%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 89.3%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 55.9%
Luciano Darderi vs. Dalibor Svrcina — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 46.5%
ATPAlejandro Tabilo vs. Alexei Popyrin 2026-09-03 15:00
vs.
Home Alexei Popyrin
Show Picks
Alexei Popyrin Moneyline
Chance to win 72.6%
The price says 44.1%
Best price +127

Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilo: Alexei Popyrin to win the match (+127)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Alexei Popyrin faces Alejandro Tabilo at US Open on Thursday 3 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alexei Popyrin wins the match. It was priced at +127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. The bet we are looking at is Alexei Popyrin to win the match. That is a match winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 55.2%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.3%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 44.4%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.6%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 87.7%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 97.1%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.8%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.2%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 64.9%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 48.1%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 41.7%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 51.8%
Alexei Popyrin vs. Alejandro Tabilo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 78.7%
ATPFlavio Cobolli vs. Tristan Schoolkate 2026-09-03 15:00
Flavio Cobolli Away
vs.
Show Picks
Flavio Cobolli at Tristan Schoolkate: Tristan Schoolkate Spread 3.5 (Tristan Schoolkate +3.5 games handicap)
Chance to win 53.5%
The price says 32.3%
Best price +210

Tristan Schoolkate vs Flavio Cobolli: Tristan Schoolkate 3.5 Game Handicap (+210)

Odds available at fanatics at time of publishing

For this bet to pay off, Tristan Schoolkate needs to win by at least four games against Flavio Cobolli. This matchup is rated close to a coin flip, which means both players are pretty evenly matched. Schoolkate has shown some solid form lately, and the home advantage can really help him out. The biggest risk here is that Cobolli could keep the match tighter than expected. If it turns into a close contest, Schoolkate might not cover the 3.5-game spread. However, given the odds and Schoolkate's recent performances, he's got a good shot at pulling this off.

Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 39.2%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 42.7%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 46.5%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 29.9%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 30.3%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 76.9%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 18.8%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 93.5%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 56.5%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.8%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 51.5%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 54.6%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 48.3%
Tristan Schoolkate vs. Flavio Cobolli — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 83.3%
ATPLearner Tien vs. Gael Monfils 2026-09-03 15:00
Learner Tien Away
vs.
Home Gael Monfils
Show Picks
Learner Tien at Gael Monfils: Gael Monfils Spread 6 (Gael Monfils +6 games handicap)
Chance to win 68.9%
The price says 46.9%
Best price +113

Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien: Gael Monfils 6 Game Handicap (+113)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Gael Monfils has a lot of experience and talent, which can really put pressure on Learner Tien. Monfils is known for his powerful shots and ability to move around the court, making it tough for younger players like Tien to keep up. This matchup suggests that Monfils could win by at least a few games. Betting on Monfils to win with a handicap of six games gives us a good chance based on what we see. The risk here is that Tien has been improving, and if he plays well, this could be closer than expected. Still, Monfils' skill should shine through in this match.

Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 34.5%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 39.2%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 43.3%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 31.3%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 31.3%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 73.5%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 91.7%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 80.6%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 52.4%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 52.4%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.8%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.3%
Gael Monfils vs. Learner Tien — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
ATPJurij Rodionov vs. Jakub Mensik 2026-09-03 15:00
Jurij Rodionov Away
vs.
Home Jakub Mensik
Show Picks
Jurij Rodionov at Jakub Mensik: Jurij Rodionov Spread 6 (Jurij Rodionov +6 games handicap)
Chance to win 57.2%
The price says 39.8%
Best price +151

Jakub Mensik vs Jurij Rodionov: Jurij Rodionov 6 Game Handicap (+151)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

Jakub Mensik and Jurij Rodionov are both showing solid form, making this match hard to call. I'm picking Jurij Rodionov with a game handicap of 6 because he has the skills to keep it close, and the odds are pretty good at +151. The match is rated close to a coin flip, so it could really go either way. The biggest risk here is that both players are evenly matched, so it's tough to predict who will come out on top. Still, I like Rodionov's chances to cover that handicap.

Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 44.2%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.5%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 37.0%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 90.1%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 79.4%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 69.4%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 64.1%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 54.6%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 60.6%
Jakub Mensik vs. Jurij Rodionov — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 13.5%
ATPQuentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev 2026-09-03 15:00
Quentin Halys Away
vs.
Show Picks
Quentin Halys at Alexander Zverev: Under Total Games 37.5 (Under 37.5 total games)
Chance to win 63.8%
The price says 49.5%
Best price +102

Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys: Under 37.5 Total Games (+102)

Odds available at pinnacle at time of publishing

For this bet to pay off, Alexander Zverev and Quentin Halys need to have a match with fewer than 37.5 total games. Our numbers suggest this is a good possibility since we expect their combined total to be around 35.8 games. Zverev is a strong player, and if he plays well, he could wrap things up quickly. The main risk here is that both players could go back and forth, making it a longer match than we hope. Still, Zverev's skill gives him a good chance to control the pace, which supports the under. Let's see if they can keep it under that total tonight!

Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.0%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 51.0%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 54.3%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 37.0%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 53.2%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 57.1%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.0%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 82.6%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 75.2%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 85.5%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 66.7%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 99.0%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 75.2%
Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 74.1%
ATPFrancisco Cerundolo vs. Jan-Lennard Struff 2026-09-03 15:00
Show Picks
Francisco Cerundolo at Jan-Lennard Struff: Under Total Games 38.5 (Under 38.5 total games)
Chance to win 65.7%
The price says 54.1%
Best price -118

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo: Under 38.5 Total Games (-118)

Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing

Jan-Lennard Struff and Francisco Cerundolo both have strong serves, which could lead to shorter games. Our numbers show a good chance for the total games to stay under 38.5, and we expect around 35.5 games in this match. The most concrete risk is that these players could push each other to long rallies, but their recent performances suggest quick points are likely. With both players capable of winning quickly, betting on under 38.5 games seems like a solid choice.

Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.6%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.5%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 53.2%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 93.5%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 43.5%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 80.0%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 44.6%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 84.7%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 53.2%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 42.6%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 42.9%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 55.6%
Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Francisco Cerundolo — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.0%
ATPMattia Bellucci vs. Taylor Fritz 2026-09-03 15:00
Mattia Bellucci Away
vs.
Home Taylor Fritz
Show Picks
Mattia Bellucci at Taylor Fritz: Over Set 1 Total Games 9.5 (Over 9.5 games in set 1)
Chance to win 59.9%
The price says 48.8%
Best price +105

Taylor Fritz vs Mattia Bellucci: Over 9.5 Set 1 Total Games (+105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Taylor Fritz has been playing well lately, and his matches often see a lot of games in the first set. When he faces off against players like Mattia Bellucci, the action tends to heat up quickly. Betting on over 9.5 total games in the first set seems like a solid choice since our model suggests they might hit around 10.3 games combined. The challenge here is that both players are quite evenly matched, so it could go either way. If they both bring their best serves, it could lead to some quick games, but a tight battle could also stretch things out. Still, with Fritz's recent form, this bet looks promising.

Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 43.3%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.5%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 69.4%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 64.1%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 77.5%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 90.1%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 67.6%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 63.7%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 58.5%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 88.5%
Taylor Fritz vs. Mattia Bellucci — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.0%
ATPMarco Trungelliti vs. Alexander Blockx 2026-09-03 15:00
vs.
Show Picks
Marco Trungelliti at Alexander Blockx: Marco Trungelliti Spread 4.5 (Marco Trungelliti +4.5 games handicap)
Chance to win 43.2%
The price says 37.0%
Best price +170

Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungelliti: Marco Trungelliti 4.5 Game Handicap (+170)

Odds available at fanatics at time of publishing

For this bet to be successful tonight, Marco Trungelliti needs to keep the match close against Alexander Blockx, losing by no more than 4.5 games. Trungelliti is the underdog, but he has a real chance to make it a competitive match based on his recent performances. Blockx may be favored, but Trungelliti has shown he can hold his own against tough opponents. The biggest risk is that Blockx could dominate the game, making it hard for Trungelliti to stay within that margin. Overall, Trungelliti has the skills to keep it tight, and the odds are in his favor for this game.

Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 50.5%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 52.1%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 79.4%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 49.5%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 47.4%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 54.1%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 48.5%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 93.5%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 45.0%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 55.6%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 82.0%
Alexander Blockx vs. Marco Trungelliti — locked pick
Chance to win
The price says 84.7%

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Quick answer

What are ATP picks?

ATP picks are model-generated predictions for men's professional tennis betting markets including Match Winner, set betting, game handicaps, totals and player props. Bet Better produces picks by running Monte Carlo simulations and machine learning models to estimate true outcome probabilities, compare them to bookmaker odds, and surface positive-edge selections with readable reasoning attached to every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming ATP match with predictions across all major markets. Expand any match to see picks ranked by edge, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For the highest-confidence shortlist only, see Today's Picks. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's implied probability from odds. Positive edge means the model estimates the true chance is higher than what's being priced.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

ATP pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
Match Winner Which player wins the match outright. Simple single bet or a low-risk multi leg.
Set Betting The exact set scoreline, or set handicap. When a favourite is expected to drop a set, or win in straights.
Game Handicap / Totals Games handicap or over/under total games in the match. Serve strength, break frequency and surface pace.
Player Props Individual stats — aces, games won, tie-breaks. Exploit serve profiles, matchup edges or recent form streaks.

How to read ATP picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a match. Matches are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that matchup.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the implied probability from odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the edge. Positive edge means the model estimates a higher probability than the bookmaker is pricing. The higher the edge, the more the selection deviates in your favour from market consensus.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a positive-edge pick compounds your long-run return significantly.
Note: This page shows all model-generated ATP picks. For the curated shortlist of the day's strongest edges, see Today's Picks. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

Model probability, edge, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Monte Carlo models

20,000+ simulations per match estimate true outcome probabilities across every major ATP market, updated as odds move daily.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

ATP Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are ATP picks?

ATP picks are model-generated predictions for men's professional tennis betting markets including Match Winner, set betting, game handicaps, totals and player props. Bet Better produces picks by running Monte Carlo simulations and machine learning models to estimate true outcome probabilities, compare them to bookmaker odds, and surface positive-edge selections with readable reasoning attached to every pick.

What is the difference between ATP picks and today's best bets?

ATP Picks shows the full set of model-generated predictions across every market for all upcoming matches. Today's Picks is a curated shortlist — the subset of picks, across all sports, that the model rates as highest confidence and strongest edge for the day. If you want everything for tennis, use this page. If you want the model's top selections only, see Today's Picks.

What types of ATP picks are available?

The model generates picks across four major market types: Match Winner (match outright), set betting (set scoreline and set handicap), totals and game handicaps (over/under total games or games handicap), and player props (individual stats such as aces and games won). Match markets and player markets are displayed together within each matchup, ranked by model edge so the strongest values surface first.

How often are ATP picks updated?

Picks are updated daily and re-run whenever bookmaker odds move significantly. As match time approaches, market liquidity increases and line movement can shift the edge calculation on a pick. Between rounds or when no upcoming matches qualify, the page displays a notification and picks return automatically once new market data is available.

Does surface type affect ATP pick value?

Yes, significantly. Clay, hard, and grass courts produce different hold rates, break frequencies, and rally lengths. A player's surface split can shift their true win probability meaningfully from their overall ranking-implied price. Picks on this page factor surface context into the model inputs.

Can I use ATP picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes — individual picks can be combined as legs in a multi or same match multi. However, risk compounds with every leg added, so starting with 2–3 high-edge selections is more efficient than building large multis around marginal edges. For structured multi recommendations with combined probability and edge shown, use the ATP Multis page.

Does Bet Better guarantee ATP picks will win?

No. ATP picks are statistical predictions intended to help inform betting decisions — no outcome is ever guaranteed. All betting involves variance and risk; even high-edge selections lose a proportion of the time. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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