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NFL

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET

Value call

Amon-Ra St. Brown has one live pick today: under 7.5 receptions that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
6.0 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.0% · before adjusting for past results 74.8% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +1.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
under 7.5 receptions
Receptions Under 7.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.00 Odds-125
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Under 7.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 7:31AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Amon-Ra St. Brown playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Amon-Ra St. Brown is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
St. Brown secured six of 11 targets for 69 yards and committed two fumbles that remained with Detroit in the Lions' 45-21 win over the Cardinals on Sunday.
updated Oct 12, 12:32AM UTC · 13d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions74.8%57.0%55.6%1.91+19.2%

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 7.5 Receptions (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Detroit Lions are facing off against the Green Bay Packers, and this matchup has some interesting challenges for Amon-Ra St. Brown. The Packers' defense has been pretty solid in covering receivers, which makes it tough for St. Brown to rack up a lot of catches. Plus, the Lions might look to spread the ball around more, especially if they want to keep the Packers guessing. With our numbers showing a good chance for this bet, it feels like a smart move to go with under 7.5 receptions for St. Brown. The biggest risk here is that he could have a breakout game, but considering how tight the defenses are, it seems more likely he stays under that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Amon-Ra St. Brown's lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 7.5
+102 best over price · 18 books

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions line is 7.5, best over price +102 across 18 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 59.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 69.5

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 69.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receiving Yards 77.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards line is 77.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 79.5
-115 best over price · 4 books

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 79.5, best over price -115 across 4 books.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Green Bay PackersO 59.5 -270
59.5posted line · receiving yds

Amon-Ra St. Brown has a live NFL receiving yards market for Green Bay Packers: over 59.5 receiving yds priced at -270.

ReceptionsNext game · Green Bay PackersU 7.5 -118
7.5posted line · receptions

Amon-Ra St. Brown has a live NFL receptions market for Green Bay Packers: under 7.5 receptions priced at -118.

Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Amon-Ra St. Brown's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions 7.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions 6.5 Under +120 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Under 7.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 25 October at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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