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NFL

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET

Value call

Amon-Ra St. Brown has one live pick today: over 49.5 receiving yards that pays $123 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
82.5 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 89.8% · before adjusting for past results 93.7% · the book's price implies 81.3% · gap +8.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 15 Nov, 9:30 AM ET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
over 49.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 49.5 -435 (1.23) · $100→$123
Value call
HIGHWins about 90 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.30 Odds-435
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 90%, the price says 81%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 5:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Amon-Ra St. Brown playing today? Not sure yet. Amon-Ra St. Brown is listed as questionable, so it is a game-day call. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

QUESTIONABLE
St. Brown (ribs) was a limited participant in Friday's practice and is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Patriots in Munich, Germany, Tim Twentyman of the Lions' official site reports.
updated Nov 13, 4:45PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)93.7%89.8%81.3%1.23+12.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-435)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Amon-Ra St. Brown to go over 49.5 receiving yards tonight, he needs to find gaps in the New England Patriots' defense. The Lions have a strong offense, and St. Brown has been playing really well lately. He gets a lot of targets, which makes it likely he can rack up the yards needed to hit this mark. While New England has a decent defense, they might struggle against a talented receiver like St. Brown who has been on a roll. The biggest risk here is that the Patriots are known for making strong adjustments during the game. Still, with how Detroit's offense is firing, it feels like a good shot for St. Brown to go over that yardage.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Amon-Ra St. Brown's lines for Sun 15 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Questionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5
Questionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 59.5.

Receptions 7.5
+103 best over price · 18 booksQuestionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions line is 7.5, best over price +103 across 18 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Questionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receptions 6.5
+103 best over price · 18 booksQuestionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions line is 6.5, best over price +103 across 18 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 69.5
Questionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 69.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards 77.5
Questionable

Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards line is 77.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · New England PatriotsO 49.5 -476
49.5posted line · receiving yds

Amon-Ra St. Brown has a live NFL receiving yards market for New England Patriots: over 49.5 receiving yds priced at -476.

ReceptionsNext game · New England PatriotsU 7.5 -135
7.5posted line · receptions

Amon-Ra St. Brown has a live NFL receptions market for New England Patriots: under 7.5 receptions priced at -135.

Anytime TD11 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked11

Amon-Ra St. Brown's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 11 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 15 November at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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