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The latest Bet Better model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 44%, edge +5.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 14, 2:39PM UTC
NFL

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET

+5.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +125 (2.25) · $100→$225
+5.8% Edge
Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
St. Brown is the top option in a wide receiver room that Lions' head coach Dan Campbell described as the "best it's ever been" in camp since Campbell's arrival in 2021, Dharya Sharma of Athlon Sports reports.
updated Aug 13, 2:08AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 44.4% · gap +5.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%—44.4%1.99+5.8%

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AI Analysis

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Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+125)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the provided data, betting on Amon-Ra St. Brown to score a touchdown at any time during the Detroit Lions vs. Cleveland Browns game seems to be a risky proposition. His recent performance has been lacklustre, with zero touchdowns scored in the last five games overall, and only one in his last five home games. Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and at home, is zero, indicating a recent dry spell in scoring. Although his overall hit rate (25/56) and home hit rate (11/28) suggest he has had some success in scoring touchdowns, the declining trend is a red flag. The model edge of only 0.0576 also indicates a slim margin for profit. In conclusion, the statistical evidence suggests caution in betting on St. Brown to score a touchdown in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Amon-Ra St. Brown's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Detroit Lions at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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