Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Over 12.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 25 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 25%, implied 6%, edge +19.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:10AM UTC
NFL
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET
Latest Model Pick
Receptions (Alt)
Over 12.5
+1500 (16.00) · $100→$1,600
+19.2% Edge
New Orleans Saints
@
Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
Our call on Amon-Ra St. Brown tonight: ●●● ●.● @ ●.●●1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks
UNKNOWNSeason pending
St. Brown was a standout performer during the Lions' final practice of training camp Thursday, recording several receptions during team drills, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports.
updated Sep 2, 3:00PM UTC · 7d old
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How often this wins
25 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 25.5% · the book's price implies 6.3% · gap +19.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions (Alt) | 25.5% | 25.5% | 6.3% | 16.00 | +19.2% |
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Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) Over 12.5 Player receptions alternate (+1500)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) Over 12.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +1500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $160 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Amon-Ra St. Brown's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions (Alt) 12.5
-103 best over price · 12 books
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions (alt) line is 12.5, best over price -103 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 4.5
-103 best over price · 12 books
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions (alt) line is 4.5, best over price -103 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 3.5
-103 best over price · 12 books
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions (alt) line is 3.5, best over price -103 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 89.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 89.5.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Receptions (Alt) 2.5
-103 best over price · 12 books
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receptions (alt) line is 2.5, best over price -103 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Total Touchdowns 2.5
Amon-Ra St. Brown's total touchdowns line is 2.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceptionsNext game · New Orleans SaintsO 4.5 -455 4.5posted line · receptions
Amon-Ra St. Brown has a live NFL receptions market for New Orleans Saints: over 4.5 receptions priced at -455.
Receiving YardsNext game · New Orleans SaintsO 49.5 -400 49.5posted line · receiving yds
Amon-Ra St. Brown has a live NFL receiving yards market for New Orleans Saints: over 49.5 receiving yds priced at -400.
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8
Amon-Ra St. Brown's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Amon-Ra St. Brown is Over 12.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 13 September at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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