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NFL

Jonathan Mingo

DAL

Value call

Jonathan Mingo has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $3,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
10 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.7% · before adjusting for past results 13.6% · the book's price implies 3.2% · gap +6.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Thu 8 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Jonathan Mingo
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +3000 (31.00) · $100→$3,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 10 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$310.00 Odds+3000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonathan Mingo is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 10%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 9, 1:15AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Mingo was estimated to be a nonparticipant at Wednesday's walkthrough practice due to an illness and is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against the Buccaneers, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports.
updated Oct 7, 10:31PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD13.6%9.7%3.2%31.00+10.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jonathan Mingo Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+3000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jonathan Mingo has been stepping up for the Dallas Cowboys, and this could be a great chance for him to score a touchdown. The Cowboys have been moving the chains well, averaging nearly 21 first downs a game last season. With the Buccaneers allowing over 353 yards per game, it opens up opportunities for players like Mingo to find the end zone. However, the risk here is that the Cowboys have struggled on grass fields, with their past performance against the line not being too strong. Still, Mingo's chances look promising given the current matchup. At odds of +3000, he's definitely an outsider, but sometimes the surprises are where the best moments happen.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jonathan Mingo's lines for Fri 9 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Anytime TD
Questionable

Jonathan Mingo's anytime td line is posted.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD19 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked19

Jonathan Mingo's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 19 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jonathan Mingo (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonathan Mingo is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.4% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys on Thursday 8 October at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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