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NFL

Denver Broncos

Next game: the Broncos play at the Chargers on Sunday 11 October. The market makes the Broncos about a 6 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $1.59. They have covered the spread in 4 of their last 10 regular-season games. See the game preview

Won-lost2-2
At home2-0
Points a game18.5
Last 4LWWL
Next Game: vs Los Angeles Chargers (Away) Sun 11 Oct, 4:05 PM ET Los Angeles Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
over 24.5 points
Over 24.5 Alternate Team Total Points
LONG-SHOT
Our numbers say this wins about 28 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $380 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$38.00 Odds+280
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 28% chance to land; the price says about 25%. That gap is why it made the board.

+11.7%
Free pick — today's headline bet on this team

The model picked today's free one for you. Unlock its full write-up, every other game market and all player props for this team.

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Model updated Oct 11, 5:47PM UTC
Answer
The Denver Broncos model is leaning the over in the Alternate Team Total Points market vs Los Angeles Chargers.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Team TotalWith Pro
SpreadWith Pro
Total PointsWith Pro
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Denver Broncos about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. Moved toward Denver Broncos since prices opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Denver Broncosabout 6 in 10$1.59 (-169)$1.54 (-185)
Chargersabout 4 in 10$2.70 (+170)$2.66 (+166)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.10 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 21 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Denver Broncos same game parlay

With Pro

Our model's same game parlay for Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET. 3 legs:

Bo Nix · rushing yards
Justin Herbert · passing yards
RJ Harvey · rushing + receiving yards

See each leg's pick, line and price, and what it pays, with Pro.

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No parlay is a sure thing — longer combinations pay more exactly because they lose more often.

Broncos schedule and results, 2026

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotalGame
Mon 14 Sepat Kansas City ChiefsL 10-31Missed (underdog by 2.5)Under 42.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Jacksonville JaguarsW 20-13Covered (favourite by 2.5)Under 45.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepvs Los Angeles RamsW 30-26Covered (favourite by 1.5)Over 43.5Game page
Sun 4 Octat San Francisco 49ersL 14-24Missed (underdog by 3)Under 48.5Game page
Sun 11 Octat Los Angeles ChargersUpcoming · 4:05 PM ET––Preview
Thu 15 Octvs Seattle SeahawksUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET––Preview
Sun 25 Octat Arizona CardinalsUpcoming · 4:05 PM ET–––
Sun 1 Novvs Kansas City ChiefsUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET––Preview
Sun 8 Novat Carolina PanthersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 22 Novvs Las Vegas RaidersUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET––Preview
Fri 27 Novat Pittsburgh SteelersUpcoming · 3:00 PM ET–––
Sun 6 Decvs Miami DolphinsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 13 Decat New York JetsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 20 Decat Las Vegas RaidersUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET––Preview
Fri 25 Decvs Buffalo BillsUpcoming · 4:30 PM ET––Preview
Sun 3 Janat New England PatriotsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 10 Janvs Los Angeles ChargersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview

Spread and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Broncos cover the spread

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Broncos covered the spread in 7 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 2 of 8 away. Their games went over the total 7 times in 17. So far in 2026: covered in 2 of 4, and over in 1 of 4.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
2026 (so far)2 of 20 of 22 of 41 of 20 of 21 of 4
20255 of 92 of 87 of 174 of 93 of 87 of 17
20246 of 86 of 912 of 175 of 86 of 911 of 17
20234 of 92 of 8 (1 push)6 of 17 (1 push)4 of 94 of 88 of 17
20223 of 84 of 97 of 173 of 83 of 96 of 17
20215 of 93 of 88 of 173 of 92 of 85 of 17
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the spread, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

Broncos injuries

Updated 10 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Jonah ColemanRBInjured reserveAnkleabout 25 Oct
Pat BryantWRInjured reserveAnkleabout 8 Nov
Pat Surtain IICBOutAnkleabout 18 Oct
Riley MossCBOutRibsabout 18 Oct

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Roof
Outdoors
Surface
Grass
Wind
5 mph
Temp
28°F
Empower Field at Mile High
Season-pending — reflects the most recent scheduled home fixture on file, not necessarily a live upcoming game.

Betting angles

1 market live
Moneylinevs Los Angeles ChargersNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point Spreadvs Los Angeles ChargersNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsGame totalOver 41.5 -115
58%over %

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Questions about the Broncos

When do the Broncos play next?

The Broncos play at the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 11 October 2026.

How often do the Broncos cover the spread?

In the 2025 regular season the Broncos covered the spread in 7 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 2 of 8 away. So far in 2026: covered in 2 of 4.

How often do Broncos games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Broncos games went over the total 7 times in 17. So far in 2026: over in 1 of 4.

Who is injured for the Broncos?

4 players are on the injury list as of 10 October: Jonah Coleman (ankle), Pat Bryant (ankle), Pat Surtain II (ankle), Riley Moss (ribs).

Where can I see the Broncos' next game preview?

Bet Better's Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Denver Broncos are tracked by the Bet Better model across NFL games. Their next game is against Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 11 October. Use the data above to inform your NFL betting decisions for Denver Broncos.

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