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NFL

Jonathan Taylor

IND

Value call

Jonathan Taylor has one live pick today: under 15.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
14.0 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.7% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +19.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Jonathan Taylor
under 15.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 15.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonathan Taylor is Under 15.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 2:20AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Taylor carried the ball 15 times for 45 yards and caught three of four targets for 37 yards in Sunday's 34-22 loss to Pittsburgh.
updated Oct 11, 11:41PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards72.7%—53.2%2.00+19.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 15.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Steelers play Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 15.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards42 lines trackedNo line posted
18.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–23.5tips tracked42

Jonathan Taylor's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 42 times, typically around a 18.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards149 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · rushing yds
line range29.5–84.5model over99%tips tracked149

Jonathan Taylor's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 149 times, typically around a 39.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions31 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5model over56%tips tracked31

Jonathan Taylor's NFL receptions prop has been priced 31 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Jonathan Taylor average?How many receiving yards does Jonathan Taylor average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Attempts 19.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over -1667 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions (Alt) 2.5 Over -104 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jonathan Taylor (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonathan Taylor is Under 15.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 11 October at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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