Trevor Lawrence has one live pick today: over 224.5 passing yards that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
244.5 passing yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 63.9% · before adjusting for past results 74.0% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +9.9%.
Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Eagles
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
Trevor Lawrence
over 224.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt)
Over 224.5
-118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.50
Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Lawrence is Over 224.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 9:25AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Trevor Lawrence playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Trevor Lawrence is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Lawrence completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions while adding three carries for no gain in the Jaguars' 22-17 win over the Bengals on Sunday.
updated Oct 4, 9:58PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Yards (Alt) | 74.0% | 63.9% | 54.1% | 1.85 | +20.0% |
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Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Over 224.5 Player pass yds alternate (-118)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Over 224.5 Player pass yds alternate. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Trevor Lawrence's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Yards (Alt) 224.5
-120 best over price · 1 book
Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 224.5, best over price -120 across 1 book.
Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5
Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.
Passing Yards 225.5
-110 best over price · 3 books
Trevor Lawrence's passing yards line is 225.5, best over price -110 across 3 books.
Passing Yards (Alt) 219.5
Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 219.5.
Rushing Yards 13.5
-112 best over price · 10 books
Trevor Lawrence's rushing yards line is 13.5, best over price -112 across 10 books.
Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5
Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 179.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5
Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 229.5
Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 229.5.
Betting angles
1 market livePassing YardsNext game · Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville JaguarsO 224.5 -118
224.5posted line · passing yds
Trevor Lawrence has a live NFL passing yards market for Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars: over 224.5 passing yds priced at -118.
Rushing Yards80 lines trackedNo line posted 17.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–29.5model over56%tips tracked80
Trevor Lawrence's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 80 times, typically around a 17.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
39%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17
Trevor Lawrence's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 39%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Trevor Lawrence (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Lawrence is Over 224.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.0% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 11 October at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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