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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Lawrence is Under 17.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 63%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +9.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:08PM UTC
NFL

Trevor Lawrence

JAX

+9.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 17.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+9.6% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Lawrence has thrived in the early stages of his second offseason in head coach Liam Coen's system, John Shipley of SI.com reports.
updated Jul 16, 5:40PM UTC · 25d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
62.8%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+9.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards62.8%53.2%1.59+9.6%

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AI Analysis

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Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Under 17.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards20 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · rushing yds
line range7.5–29.5model over44%tips tracked20

Trevor Lawrence's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 20 times, typically around a 14.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

Trevor Lawrence's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trevor Lawrence (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Lawrence is Under 17.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.6% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Jacksonville Jaguars at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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