Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cam Ward is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:48PM UTC
NFL
Cam Ward
TEN
Cam Ward has one live pick today: Total Touchdowns Over 1.5 that pays $12,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
Value call
Philadelphia Eagles
@
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Ward completed 19 of 32 passes for 140 yards and a touchdown while rushing four times for 21 yards in Sunday's 23-10 loss to the Jets.
updated Sep 14, 12:55AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Total Touchdowns
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 1.4% · before adjusting for past results 2.1% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap +0.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 126.00 | +1.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Cam Ward (TEN) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+12500)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Tennessee Titans play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Cam Ward (TEN) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formPassing Yards36 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–202.5model over97%tips tracked36
Cam Ward's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 36 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards8 lines trackedNo line posted 11.5typical line · rushing yds
line range8.5–12.5tips tracked8
Cam Ward's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 11.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD14 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked14
Cam Ward's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 14 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
149.5 |
Over |
-455 |
✗ MISS |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
124.5 |
Over |
-1000 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans |
Passing Yards |
202.5 |
Under |
-111 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans |
Passing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans |
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans |
Interceptions Thrown |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Cam Ward (TEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cam Ward is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans on Sunday 20 September at Tennessee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.