Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Josh Downs

IND

Value call

Josh Downs has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $130 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
92 in 100
Predicted
53.4 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 92.2% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +15.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Josh Downs
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
Value call
HIGHWins about 92 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.00 Odds-333
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Downs is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 92%, the price says 77%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:38AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Josh Downs playing on Sunday? Not sure yet. Josh Downs is listed as questionable, so it is a game-day call. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

QUESTIONABLE
Downs was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice due to a hamstring injury and rest.
updated Oct 14, 8:45PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)92.2%—76.9%1.30+15.3%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans: Josh Downs Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-333)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on Josh Downs to get over 24.5 receiving yards looks like a solid choice. Our numbers really like this pick, showing he has a strong chance to reach that mark. The Colts will be at home, giving him a bit of an advantage, and the Titans' defense has struggled against wide receivers lately. One thing to watch is that the game could be close, which might limit passing opportunities. Still, with the way Downs has been performing and the Colts' need for him to step up, there's a good chance he'll hit this target.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Josh Downs's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Questionable

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Questionable

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Questionable

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Questionable

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards 46.5
-120 best over price · 1 bookQuestionable

Josh Downs's receiving yards line is 46.5, best over price -120 across 1 book.

Receptions 3.5
-179 best over price · 3 booksQuestionable

Josh Downs's receptions line is 3.5, best over price -179 across 3 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
-110 best over price · 6 booksQuestionable

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5, best over price -110 across 6 books.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Tennessee TitansO 24.5 -333
24.5posted line · receiving yds

Josh Downs has a live NFL receiving yards market for Tennessee Titans: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -333.

ReceptionsNext game · Tennessee TitansU 3.5 +125
3.5posted line · receptions

Josh Downs has a live NFL receptions market for Tennessee Titans: under 3.5 receptions priced at +125.

Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
29%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Josh Downs's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 29%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Josh Downs average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions 4.5 Under +128 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions 5.5 Under -154 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards 58.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Josh Downs (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Downs is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 18 October at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.