Josh Downs (IND) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (+210)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
While Josh Downs' recent performance has been less than stellar, with an overall hit rate of 0/5 in his last five games and a current hit streak of zero, betting on the over 14.5 might still be a viable option. This is due to a combination of his overall hit rate of 28/39, which indicates a relatively strong historical performance, and his home hit rate of 15/21, suggesting that he performs better when playing at home. Moreover, his hit rate against Atlanta is perfect, 1/1, showing that he has performed well against this team in the past. Despite his recent slump, the historical data suggests that Downs is capable of reaching over 14.5 yards. It is also worth noting that the model edge of 0.0658 adds a small degree of confidence in this bet.