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NFL

Josh Downs

IND

Value call

Josh Downs has one live pick today: over 19.5 receiving yards that pays $120 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
92 in 100
Predicted
48.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 92.5% · the book's price implies 83.3% · gap +9.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Josh Downs
over 19.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 19.5 -500 (1.20) · $100→$120
Value call
HIGHWins about 92 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.00 Odds-500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Downs is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 92%, the price says 83%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Josh Downs playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Josh Downs is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Downs caught four of five targets for 23 yards and a touchdown during Sunday's 42-7 loss to the Jaguars.
updated Nov 2, 2:53AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)92.5%—83.3%1.20+9.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Indianapolis Colts vs Dallas Cowboys: Josh Downs Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Josh Downs has been on fire lately, making big plays for the Indianapolis Colts. With the way he has been catching passes, betting on him to go over 19.5 receiving yards seems like a smart choice. The Colts are at home, which gives them a nice boost in energy and support. The Dallas Cowboys have a solid defense, but Downs has shown he can maneuver around tight coverage. The biggest risk here is that the Cowboys might focus on shutting him down, which could limit his chances. Still, with the Colts needing to score and Downs' recent form, he has a good shot at hitting that yardage mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Josh Downs's lines for Sun 8 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receptions 4.5
+131 best over price · 8 books

Josh Downs's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +131 across 8 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
-149 best over price · 1 book

Josh Downs's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5, best over price -149 across 1 book.

Anytime TD
+320 best over price · 14 books

Josh Downs's anytime td line is posted, best over price +320 across 14 books.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Anytime TDNext game · Dallas CowboysAnytime TD +320

Josh Downs has a live NFL anytime td market for Dallas Cowboys priced at +320.

Receiving YardsNext game · Dallas CowboysO 19.5 -500
19.5posted line · receiving yds

Josh Downs has a live NFL receiving yards market for Dallas Cowboys: over 19.5 receiving yds priced at -500.

ReceptionsNext game · Dallas CowboysU 4.5 -159
4.5posted line · receptions

Josh Downs has a live NFL receptions market for Dallas Cowboys: under 4.5 receptions priced at -159.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Josh Downs average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Downs (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Downs is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 8 November at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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