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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dallas Goedert is Yes on Anytime TD.
On the Anytime TD market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 33%, for a model edge of +16.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 12:49AM UTC
NFL

Dallas Goedert

PHI

+16.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +200 (3.00) · $100→$300
+16.9% Edge
Chicago Bears @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Goedert's role could expand in 2026 after the Eagles traded A.J. Brown to New England, Glenn Erby of USA Today reports.
updated Jun 24, 8:44PM UTC · 47d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
33.3%
Model Edge
+16.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%33.3%1.99+16.9%

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AI Analysis

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Dallas Goedert (PHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the statistical data, the betting on Dallas Goedert to score a touchdown at any time during the game against the Chicago Bears appears to be a risky proposition. His recent performance shows a lack of scoring, with a current hit streak of zero both overall and at home. Moreover, his last 10 games have also not seen him score a touchdown, and his hit rate over the last 20 games is only 10% (2 out of 20). His overall touchdown scoring rate is just about 14.8% (8 out of 54). Thus, the data suggests that Goedert's scoring potential is not particularly high. While the model edge is positive, it's relatively small, suggesting that the expected return isn't particularly high relative to the risk. Therefore, the statistical evidence does not strongly support a bet on Goedert to score a touchdown in this match.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Dallas Goedert's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dallas Goedert (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dallas Goedert is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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