Dallas Goedert has one live pick today: under 42.5 receiving yards that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
39.7 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 61.9% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap +9.3%.
Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Eagles
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
Dallas Goedert
under 42.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards
Under 42.5
-111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$19.00
Odds-111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dallas Goedert is Under 42.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:42PM UTC
Is Dallas Goedert playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Dallas Goedert is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Goedert (knee) doesn't have a designation for Sunday's game versus the Jaguars in London.
updated Oct 9, 8:53PM UTC · 1d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards | 61.9% | — | 52.6% | 2.01 | +9.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Dallas Goedert (PHI) Under 42.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dallas Goedert (PHI) Under 42.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Dallas Goedert's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards 42.5
-114 best over price · 8 books
Dallas Goedert's receiving yards line is 42.5, best over price -114 across 8 books.
Anytime TD
+310 best over price · 14 books
Dallas Goedert's anytime td line is posted, best over price +310 across 14 books.
Receptions 4.5
+112 best over price · 12 books
Dallas Goedert's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +112 across 12 books.
Betting angles
3 markets liveAnytime TDNext game · Jacksonville JaguarsAnytime TD +310
Dallas Goedert has a live NFL anytime td market for Jacksonville Jaguars priced at +310.
Receiving YardsNext game · Jacksonville JaguarsU 42.5 -111 42.5posted line · receiving yds
Dallas Goedert has a live NFL receiving yards market for Jacksonville Jaguars: under 42.5 receiving yds priced at -111.
ReceptionsNext game · Jacksonville JaguarsU 4.5 -127 4.5posted line · receptions
Dallas Goedert has a live NFL receptions market for Jacksonville Jaguars: under 4.5 receptions priced at -127.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles |
Receptions |
3.5 |
Under |
-135 |
✗ MISS |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles |
Receiving Yards |
35.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✗ MISS |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles |
Receiving Yards |
34.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✗ MISS |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Dallas Goedert (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dallas Goedert is Under 42.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 11 October at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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