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NFL

Dallas Goedert

PHI

Value call

Dallas Goedert has one live pick today: under 5.5 receptions that pays $178 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
4.6 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.1% · before adjusting for past results 68.8% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap -9.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Dallas Goedert
under 5.5 receptions
Receptions Under 5.5 -128 (1.78) · $100→$178
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.80 Odds-128
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dallas Goedert is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 2:07AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions68.8%47.1%56.2%1.91+12.7%

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys: Dallas Goedert Under 5.5 Receptions (-128)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dallas Goedert has been a solid target for the Eagles, but his recent games show he hasn't been piling up receptions. The matchup against the Cowboys could make it tough for him to hit over 5.5 catches. Dallas has a strong defense that can limit tight ends, and they'll be focused on shutting him down. Even though our numbers give this bet a good chance, there's still a risk since Goedert is a talented player who can break out. If he finds some openings early, he might surprise us. But overall, considering the matchup and how both teams are playing, betting on him to have under 5.5 receptions feels like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (23 picks) 91.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
45%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Dallas Goedert's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 45%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards84 lines trackedNo line posted
34.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–50.5model over62%tips tracked84

Dallas Goedert's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 84 times, typically around a 34.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions12 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–5.5model over59%tips tracked12

Dallas Goedert's NFL receptions prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Dallas Goedert average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Receptions 5.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Receiving Yards 50.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dallas Goedert (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 91.3% on tracked Dallas Goedert picks. The latest model pick for Dallas Goedert is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.7% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles on Monday 26 October at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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