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Model v4.0 Updated Daily

Today's AFL Prop Bets — Free Player Props for Every Game

Free AFL player props — disposals, goals and marks. Every prop shows how likely it is, the best price on offer, and the reasoning behind it — in plain English.

See today's props Verified track record Results

Today's player props

Strongest plays first · updated daily

117 props on the board, and the 3 strongest are free

The prop we'd back first · Western Bulldogs at Adelaide Crows

Will Lewis Over 0.5 goals -147

Our confidenceHigh

Chance to win79.1%

The price says59.5%

$50 returns$84.00

The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each prop below

WB v ADE	Will Lewis Over 0.5 goals	High79% chance	-147
WB v ADE	Callum Ah Chee Over 11.5 disposals	High73% chance	-115
BRI v SYD	Caiden Cleary Under 14.5 disposals	High72% chance	-119
WB v ADE		High83% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High72% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High70% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High70% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High71% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High73% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High75% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High83% chance	—
BRI v SYD		High70% chance	—

High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

The model's call on 114 more props

AFL •

Western Bulldogs at

Adelaide Crows •

Will Lewis Over 0.5 Goals

Chance to win: 79.1% The price says 59.5%

Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Will Lewis Over 0.5 Goals (-147)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Will Lewis has been showing great promise lately, and backing him to score a goal feels like a smart move. The Adelaide Crows have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games and outscoring their opponents by nearly 20 points on average. With the Crows dominating contested possessions, it creates plenty of chances for players like Lewis to find the scoreboard. While the Western Bulldogs have been solid too, they struggle with contested ball, which could give Lewis more opportunities to kick a goal. The biggest risk here is that both teams have had some close matchups recently, so nothing is guaranteed. Still, with Lewis in the mix and the Crows on a winning streak, betting on him to score over 0.5 goals seems promising.

AFL •

Western Bulldogs at

Adelaide Crows •

Callum Ah Chee Over 11.5 Disposals

Chance to win: 72.9% The price says 53.5%

Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Callum Ah Chee Over 11.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on Callum Ah Chee to get over 11.5 disposals looks solid at -115 odds. The Adelaide Crows have been strong lately, winning 7 out of their last 10 matches and scoring nearly 99 points per game. They also win the contested ball by about 8.4 possessions, which helps boost players like Ah Chee's chances of getting more touches. While the Western Bulldogs have also won 6 of their last 10 games, they lose the contested ball by over 5 possessions a match. This could give Ah Chee more opportunities to gather disposals. The main risk is how close these teams are, as the Bulldogs have shown they can compete. Still, the numbers suggest Ah Chee has a good chance to exceed that mark.

AFL •

Western Bulldogs at

Adelaide Crows •

Bailey Dale Over 17.5 Kicks

Chance to win: 83.1% The price says 63.7%

Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Bailey Dale Over 17.5 Kicks (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Dale has been a solid performer, and the numbers show he can make a big impact in this game. The Adelaide Crows have been winning a lot lately, taking 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of nearly 99 points. They also win contested balls by a good margin, which should help Dale get plenty of opportunities to kick the ball. On the other hand, the Western Bulldogs have been struggling a bit with contested possessions, losing out in that area. While Dale looks strong for over 17.5 kicks, the risk is that the close matchup could limit his chances if the game turns into a tight battle. Still, it's hard to ignore how well he's been playing lately.

AFL •

Brisbane Lions at

Sydney Swans •

Tom PapleyDisposals · line 16.5