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NFL

Braelon Allen

NYJ

Value call

Braelon Allen has one live pick today: under 10.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
10.3 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.6% · before adjusting for past results 73.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Braelon Allen
under 10.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 10.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Braelon Allen is Under 10.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:48AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Allen rushed 24 times for 116 yards and a touchdown while catching one of four targets for no gain in Sunday's 17-12 win over the Browns.
updated Oct 11, 8:58PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards73.1%56.6%53.2%2.00+19.9%

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AI Analysis

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Braelon Allen (NYJ) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Braelon Allen (NYJ) Under 10.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions4 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–1.5tips tracked4

Braelon Allen's NFL receptions prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
10.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1

Braelon Allen's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 10.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards 10.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 New York Jets @ Chicago Bears Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Braelon Allen (NYJ) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Braelon Allen is Under 10.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Chicago Bears on Sunday 4 October at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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