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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dalton Kincaid is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 33%, for a model edge of +16.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NFL

Dalton Kincaid

BUF

+16.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +200 (3.00)
+16.9% Edge
Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Kincaid (knee) was a participant in the Bills' OTAs on Tuesday, Sal Capaccio of WGR Sports Radio 550 Buffalo reports.
updated May 19, 11:09PM UTC · 62d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
33.3%
Model Edge
+16.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—33.3%1.99+16.9%

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AI Analysis

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Dalton Kincaid (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting data for Dalton Kincaid scoring a touchdown anytime in the upcoming Buffalo Bills versus Cincinnati Bengals game suggests caution. Kincaid's recent performance and historical trends are not promising for this bet. He hasn't scored a touchdown in his last 10 games overall, and this streak extends to his last 5 home games and his sole past face-off against Cincinnati. His overall hit rate is also low, with only 4 touchdowns in 42 games. This trend is consistent at home, where he scored 3 times in 23 games. Against the Bengals, he hasn't scored in their only meeting. His current hit streak is zero across the board. While the model edge is 0.169, the historical performance and trends do not support this bet's potential success. One should consider these factors before placing a bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Dalton Kincaid's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dalton Kincaid is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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