Dalton Kincaid has one live pick today: under 58.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
51.3 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 55.9% · before adjusting for past results 67.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +2.7%.
Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bills
@
Los Angeles Rams
Dalton Kincaid
under 58.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards
Under 58.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.80
Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dalton Kincaid is Under 58.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 4:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 807 of 1,525 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Dalton Kincaid playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Dalton Kincaid is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Kincaid brought in one of two targets for seven yards in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
updated Oct 4, 11:59PM UTC · 7d old
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards | 67.0% | 55.9% | 53.2% | 1.99 | +13.8% |
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Dalton Kincaid (BUF) Under 58.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Tuesday 13 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dalton Kincaid (BUF) Under 58.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Dalton Kincaid's lines for Tue 13 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards 58.5
Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards line is 58.5.
Receiving Yards 56.5
-114 best over price · 4 books
Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards line is 56.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receptions (Alt) 4.5
+101 best over price · 13 books
Dalton Kincaid's receptions (alt) line is 4.5, best over price +101 across 13 books.
Receiving Yards 54.5
-114 best over price · 3 books
Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards line is 54.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.
Receptions 3.5
+101 best over price · 13 books
Dalton Kincaid's receptions line is 3.5, best over price +101 across 13 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Dalton Kincaid's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Los Angeles RamsO 14.5 -714 14.5posted line · receiving yds
Dalton Kincaid has a live NFL receiving yards market for Los Angeles Rams: over 14.5 receiving yds priced at -714.
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
46%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5
Dalton Kincaid's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 46%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions68 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5model over72%tips tracked68
Dalton Kincaid's NFL receptions prop has been priced 68 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 04 Oct 26 |
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills |
Receiving Yards |
52.5 |
Under |
-110 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Dalton Kincaid (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dalton Kincaid is Under 58.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.8% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams on Monday 12 October at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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