Josh Allen (BUF) Under 17.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Josh Allen for under 17.5 rushing yards in the Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints game is statistically sound, given his recent performances. Allen's overall hit rate is low in recent games: his hit rate for the last 3, 5, and 10 games is 0/3, 0/5, and 1/10 respectively. This implies that he has not been able to surpass the 17.5 rushing yards mark in most of his recent games. His home hit rate is slightly better but still not promising, standing at 0/3, 1/5, and 3/10 for the last 3, 5, and 10 home games respectively. Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and at home, is zero. This means he hasn't surpassed the 17.5 rushing yards mark in his most recent games. Combined with a model edge of 0.087, this data suggests that betting on Allen