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NFL

Josh Allen

BUF

Value call

Josh Allen has one live pick today: under 244.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
226.7 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +19.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles · Indoor
Mon 12 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Josh Allen
under 244.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 244.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Allen is Under 244.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 4:21PM UTC

Is Josh Allen playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Josh Allen is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Allen completed 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards with a touchdown and an interception and added five carries for four yards and another score in the Bills' 29-26 loss to the Patriots on Sunday.
updated Oct 4, 9:34PM UTC · 7d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards73.1%—53.2%1.99+19.9%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills: Josh Allen Under 244.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For this bet to hit, Josh Allen needs to throw for fewer than 244.5 passing yards against the Rams. The Rams have a solid defense that allowed very few touchdowns to running backs last season, which suggests they can focus on covering the pass. Even though Allen had a strong season last year, he also carried the ball a lot, which could mean fewer passes. Plus, the Rams' defense has shown it can put pressure on quarterbacks. This matchup could be tighter than expected, so while it's a good chance, it's not a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Josh Allen's lines for Tue 13 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards 244.5
-111 best over price · 8 books

Josh Allen's passing yards line is 244.5, best over price -111 across 8 books.

Passing Yards 247.5
-115 best over price · 1 book

Josh Allen's passing yards line is 247.5, best over price -115 across 1 book.

Rushing Yards 38.5
-115 best over price · 5 books

Josh Allen's rushing yards line is 38.5, best over price -115 across 5 books.

Rushing Yards 37.5
-115 best over price · 5 books

Josh Allen's rushing yards line is 37.5, best over price -115 across 5 books.

Passing Yards 245.5
-111 best over price · 8 books

Josh Allen's passing yards line is 245.5, best over price -111 across 8 books.

Rushing Yards 36.5
-109 best over price · 6 books

Josh Allen's rushing yards line is 36.5, best over price -109 across 6 books.

Passing Yards 243.5
-111 best over price · 8 books

Josh Allen's passing yards line is 243.5, best over price -111 across 8 books.

Passing Yards 242.5

Josh Allen's passing yards line is 242.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Passing YardsNext game · Los Angeles RamsU 244.5 -114
244.5posted line · passing yds

Josh Allen has a live NFL passing yards market for Los Angeles Rams: under 244.5 passing yds priced at -114.

Rushing YardsNext game · Los Angeles RamsU 36.5 -114
36.5posted line · rushing yds

Josh Allen has a live NFL rushing yards market for Los Angeles Rams: under 36.5 rushing yds priced at -114.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Allen (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Allen is Under 244.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams on Monday 12 October at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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