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Elijah Sarratt

BAL

Value call

Elijah Sarratt has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.3% · before adjusting for past results 10.6% · the book's price implies 3.9% · gap +3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
Elijah Sarratt
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 7 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$260.00 Odds+2500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elijah Sarratt is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 1:48AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
updated Oct 12, 6:57PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD10.6%7.3%3.9%26.00+6.8%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens: Elijah Sarratt Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+2500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Elijah Sarratt to score a touchdown are pretty tempting at +2500. Both the Falcons and Ravens have shown strong defenses, especially against tight ends, giving up very few touchdowns in that area last season. However, Sarratt is a bit of an outsider here, which means the chances are lower, but he could surprise everyone. The key factor is that the Falcons' quarterback has faced a lot of extra rushers, making quick decisions crucial. This could lead to more opportunities for Sarratt if the Ravens' defense gets caught out of position. Just remember, the competition is tough, and the defenses are solid, so it might not pan out.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Elijah Sarratt's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Elijah Sarratt (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elijah Sarratt is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons on Sunday 11 October at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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