Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Conklin is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:57PM UTC
NFL
Tyler Conklin
DET
Tyler Conklin has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $8,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+8000 (81.00) · $100→$8,100
Value call
New Orleans Saints
@
Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 9.2% · before adjusting for past results 9.2% · the book's price implies 1.2% · gap +7.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 9.2% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 81.00 | +7.9% |
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Tyler Conklin (DET) Yes Player last td (+8000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Conklin (DET) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +8000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $810 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
9%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Tyler Conklin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 9%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tyler Conklin (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Conklin is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 13 September at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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