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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameson Williams is Yes on Anytime TD.
On the Anytime TD market the model assigns a model win probability of 41%, versus the book's implied 31%, for a model edge of +9.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:41PM UTC
NFL

Jameson Williams

DET

+9.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +220 (3.20) · $100→$320
+9.9% Edge
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
41.2%
Implied Probability
31.3%
Model Edge
+9.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD41.2%31.3%2.43+9.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jameson Williams (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Jameson Williams to score a touchdown at any time during the Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears game could be considered a risky option based on his recent performance and trends. Williams has not been consistent in scoring touchdowns, reflected in his overall hit rate of 11/38 and a zero hit streak in his overall and home games. His performance against Chicago is slightly better, with a hit rate of 2/5 and a current hit streak of 1. However, his performance at home against Chicago is less promising, with a hit rate of 1/3 and a current hit streak of 0. The model edge of just under 10% also suggests that this is a riskier bet. Therefore, while there's a chance for Williams to score, the statistical evidence suggests it's less likely.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD13 lines trackedNo line posted
48%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked13

Jameson Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 13 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 48%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jameson Williams (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameson Williams is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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