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NFL

Jameson Williams

DET

Value call

Jameson Williams has one live pick today: under 55.5 receiving yards that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
48.3 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.2% · before adjusting for past results 67.3% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap +3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Jameson Williams
under 55.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 55.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.00 Odds-111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameson Williams is Under 55.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 10:04AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Williams brought in two of four targets for 47 yards and two touchdowns in the Lions' 45-21 win over the Cardinals on Sunday.
updated Oct 12, 12:49AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards67.3%56.2%52.6%2.01+14.7%

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AI Analysis

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Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions: Jameson Williams Under 55.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Arizona Cardinals are taking on the Detroit Lions, and this matchup could be more about defense than offense. Jameson Williams, the young receiver for the Lions, has a chance to shine, but the Cardinals have been pretty solid in defending against the pass. With both teams finding their rhythm, it's possible that Williams may not hit those big yardage numbers. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance he stays under 55.5 receiving yards. A key risk here is that the game could be close, which might lead to fewer passing attempts. Keep an eye on how the game unfolds, but betting the under on Williams feels like a smart move in this situation.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD22 lines trackedNo line posted
44%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked22

Jameson Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 22 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 44%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards103 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–109.5model over97%tips tracked103

Jameson Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 103 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions82 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5model over78%tips tracked82

Jameson Williams's NFL receptions prop has been priced 82 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Jameson Williams average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards 55.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards 53.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards 52.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jameson Williams (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameson Williams is Under 55.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals on Sunday 11 October at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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