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NFL

Jameson Williams

DET

Value call

Jameson Williams has one live pick today: over 29.5 receiving yards that pays $129 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
56.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.3% · before adjusting for past results 89.5% · the book's price implies 77.5% · gap +6.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Jameson Williams
over 29.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 -345 (1.29) · $100→$129
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.90 Odds-345
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameson Williams is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 1, 6:57PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Williams caught five of nine targets for 91 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 20-17 win over Green Bay.
updated Oct 26, 2:10AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)89.5%84.3%77.5%1.29+12.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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Jameson Williams (DET) Over 29.5 Player reception yds alternate (-345)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Detroit Lions play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 1 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jameson Williams (DET) Over 29.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -345 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Jameson Williams's lines for Sun 1 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5

Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5

Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5

Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receptions 3.5

Jameson Williams's receptions line is 3.5.

Receptions (Alt) 4.5

Jameson Williams's receptions (alt) line is 4.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5

Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD22 lines trackedNo line posted
44%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked22

Jameson Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 22 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 44%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards159 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–109.5model over97%tips tracked159

Jameson Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 159 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions99 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5model over74%tips tracked99

Jameson Williams's NFL receptions prop has been priced 99 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Jameson Williams average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jameson Williams (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameson Williams is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 1 November at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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