Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameson Williams is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 99 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 99%, the price says 87%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 3:21AM UTC
NFL
Jameson Williams
DET
Jameson Williams has one live pick today: Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 that pays $115 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 24.5
-667 (1.15) · $100→$115
Value call
New Orleans Saints
@
Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 339 of 532 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Williams brought in two of four targets for 33 yards in the Lions' 41-31 loss to the Bills on Thursday.
updated Sep 18, 4:54AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
99 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 99.0% · before adjusting for past results 99.0% · the book's price implies 87.0% · gap +12.0%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 99.0% | 99.0% | 87.0% | 1.15 | +13.0% |
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Jameson Williams (DET) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (-667)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jameson Williams (DET) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD22 lines trackedNo line posted
44%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked22
Jameson Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 22 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 44%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards68 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–109.5model over99%tips tracked68
Jameson Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 68 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions81 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5model over78%tips tracked81
Jameson Williams's NFL receptions prop has been priced 81 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-667 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
19.5 |
Over |
-1429 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
14.5 |
Over |
-1667 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Jameson Williams (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameson Williams is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 13 September at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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