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Sione Vaki

DET

Value call

Sione Vaki has one live pick today: over 14.5 rushing yards that pays $216 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
21.4 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 58.0% · the book's price implies 46.3% · gap +11.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 15 Nov, 9:30 AM ET
Sione Vaki
over 14.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 +116 (2.16) · $100→$216
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.60 Odds+116
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sione Vaki is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 46%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 11:55PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Sione Vaki playing on Sunday? Not sure yet. Sione Vaki is listed as questionable, so it is a game-day call. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

QUESTIONABLE
Vaki (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Patriots in Munich, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports.
updated Nov 13, 5:45PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)58.0%—46.3%2.16+11.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots: Sione Vaki Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (+116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Detroit Lions have a strong rushing game, and Sione Vaki is looking to make an impact against the New England Patriots. With the Lions' offensive line creating openings, Vaki should find chances to break through for yards. He has been in good form lately, which adds to the hope for a solid performance. Betting on Vaki to rush for over 14.5 yards seems reasonable, but it's not a sure thing. The Patriots have a tough defense that could make it hard for him to get those yards, so it might be a close call. Still, with the way the Lions are playing, he has a good shot at hitting the mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 70.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Sione Vaki's lines for Sun 15 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5
-105 best over price · 3 booksQuestionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5, best over price -105 across 3 books.

Rushing Yards 12.5
-114 best over price · 5 booksQuestionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards line is 12.5, best over price -114 across 5 books.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
Questionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5
Questionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 9.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5
Questionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5
Questionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 4.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Questionable

Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Betting angles

1 market live
Rushing YardsNext game · New England PatriotsO 14.5 +116
14.5posted line · rushing yds

Sione Vaki has a live NFL rushing yards market for New England Patriots: over 14.5 rushing yds priced at +116.

Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
15%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17

Sione Vaki's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 15%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Sione Vaki average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rushing Attempts 5.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions Rushing Yards — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

See the complete track record

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About This Player

Sione Vaki (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 70.0% on tracked Sione Vaki picks. The latest model pick for Sione Vaki is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 15 November at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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