Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sione Vaki is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 46%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 8:23PM UTC
NFL
Sione Vaki
DET
Sione Vaki has one live pick today: Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 that pays $218 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 14.5
+118 (2.18) · $100→$218
Value call
Detroit Lions
@
Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
Mon 5 Oct, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 226 of 421 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
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How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
23.0 Rushing Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 51.3% · before adjusting for past results 63.0% · the book's price implies 45.9% · gap +5.4%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 63.0% | 51.3% | 45.9% | 2.18 | +17.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Sione Vaki (DET) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate (+118)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Carolina Panthers play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Monday 5 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sione Vaki (DET) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Sione Vaki's lines for Mon 5 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5
Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5
-135 best over price · 1 book
Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 9.5, best over price -135 across 1 book.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5
Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Rushing Yards 11.5
-110 best over price · 7 books
Sione Vaki's rushing yards line is 11.5, best over price -110 across 7 books.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5
Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
Sione Vaki's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveRushing YardsNext game · Carolina PanthersO 11.5 -110 11.5posted line · rushing yds
Sione Vaki has a live NFL rushing yards market for Carolina Panthers: over 11.5 rushing yds priced at -110.
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5
Sione Vaki's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 27 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 27 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions |
Rushing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 27 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions |
Rushing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Sione Vaki (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sione Vaki is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers on Monday 5 October at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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