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Payne Durham

TB

Value call

Payne Durham has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $3,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 6.5% · before adjusting for past results 9.1% · the book's price implies 2.8% · gap +3.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Thu 8 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Payne Durham
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +3500 (36.00) · $100→$3,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$360.00 Odds+3500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Payne Durham is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 2:46AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD9.1%6.5%2.8%36.00+6.3%

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AI Analysis

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Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Payne Durham Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+3500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Dallas Cowboys struggle on defense, allowing a lot of yards, especially in the air. This could be a problem for them against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have shown they can score when their offense is clicking. Although both teams have had ups and downs, the Cowboys' ability to give up big plays might give the Buccaneers a chance to shine. Payne Durham has a real shot at scoring a touchdown in this matchup. The odds are long, but if the Bucs find success moving the ball, he could be the one to take advantage. The biggest risk here is that both teams have had mixed results on grass fields, so it might not be easy.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
9%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17

Payne Durham's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 9%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Payne Durham (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Payne Durham is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys on Thursday 8 October at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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