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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jared Wiley is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 9%, implied 2%, edge +7.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 7, 8:17PM UTC
NFL

Jared Wiley

KC

+7.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer Yes +5500 (56.00) · $100→$5,600
+7.6% Edge
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Tue 15 Sep, 12:15AM
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
9 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 9.4% · the book's price implies 1.8% · gap +7.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Last Touchdown Scorer9.4%9.4%1.8%10.63+7.6%

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AI Analysis

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos: Jared Wiley Yes Last Touchdown Scorer (+5500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Jared Wiley to score the last touchdown at +5500 offers a big payout if it hits. The Kansas City Chiefs are strong at home, and while they have a powerful offense, Wiley is a bit of a wildcard. Our numbers show he's a genuine long shot, but sometimes those can surprise you when the game heats up. The Chiefs' passing game can create opportunities for Wiley, especially if defenses focus on bigger names. However, the risk is that the Broncos have a solid defense, and the chances of Wiley getting the ball in the end zone are slim. Still, if you're feeling lucky, this could be an exciting bet worth trying.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jared Wiley's lines for Tue 15 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Last Touchdown Scorer

Jared Wiley's last touchdown scorer line is posted.

Anytime TD

Jared Wiley's anytime td line is posted.

Total Touchdowns 1.5

Jared Wiley's total touchdowns line is 1.5.

Betting angles

1 market live
Anytime TDNext game · Denver Broncos @ Kansas City ChiefsAnytime TD +1700

Jared Wiley has a live NFL anytime td market for Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs priced at +1700.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jared Wiley (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jared Wiley is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on Tuesday 15 September at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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