Keaton Mitchell has one live pick today: over 29.5 rushing yards that pays $590 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
36 in 100
Predicted
26.6 rushing yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 35.8% · the book's price implies 17.0% · gap +18.8%.
Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans
@
Los Angeles Chargers
Keaton Mitchell
over 29.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 29.5
+490 (5.90) · $100→$590
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 36 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$59.00
Odds+490
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keaton Mitchell is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 36 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 36%, the price says 17%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Keaton Mitchell playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Keaton Mitchell is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Mitchell rushed four times for six yards and caught all three of his targets for 17 yards in Sunday's 24-9 loss to the Rams.
updated Nov 3, 2:39AM UTC · 5d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 35.8% | — | 17.0% | 5.90 | +18.8% |
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Keaton Mitchell (LAC) Over 29.5 Player rush yds alternate (+490)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Keaton Mitchell (LAC) Over 29.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +490 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $59 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Keaton Mitchell's lines for Sun 8 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Keaton Mitchell's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5
Keaton Mitchell's rushing yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Keaton Mitchell's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5
Keaton Mitchell's rushing yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Anytime TD
+700 best over price · 14 books
Keaton Mitchell's anytime td line is posted, best over price +700 across 14 books.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5
Keaton Mitchell's rushing yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersO 29.5 +490 29.5posted line · rushing yds
Keaton Mitchell has a live NFL rushing yards market for Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers: over 29.5 rushing yds priced at +490.
Anytime TDNext game · Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersAnytime TD +700
Keaton Mitchell has a live NFL anytime td market for Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers priced at +700.
Receiving Yards25 lines trackedNo line posted 10.5typical line · receiving yds
line range6.5–59.5tips tracked25
Keaton Mitchell's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 25 times, typically around a 10.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions17 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5model over53%tips tracked17
Keaton Mitchell's NFL receptions prop has been priced 17 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
4.5 |
Over |
-667 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receptions (Alt) |
2.5 |
Over |
+330 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receptions |
1.5 |
Over |
+106 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rush + Rec Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Keaton Mitchell (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keaton Mitchell is Over 29.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.8% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 8 November at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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