Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keaton Mitchell is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 2%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:01PM UTC
NFL
Keaton Mitchell
LAC
Keaton Mitchell has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $2,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+2000 (21.00) · $100→$2,100
Value call
Las Vegas Raiders
@
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Mitchell rushed five times for 24 yards and caught his only target for 15 yards during Sunday's 26-14 loss to the Raiders.
updated Sep 22, 1:55AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 1.5% · before adjusting for past results 14.6% · the book's price implies 4.8% · gap -3.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 14.6% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 21.00 | +9.8% |
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Keaton Mitchell (LAC) Yes Player last td (+2000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Keaton Mitchell (LAC) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $210 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards5 lines trackedNo line posted 8.5typical line · receiving yds
line range8.5–24.5model over55%tips tracked5
Keaton Mitchell's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 8.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
tips tracked1
Keaton Mitchell's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards9 lines trackedNo line posted 20.5typical line · rushing yds
line range14.5–25.5tips tracked9
Keaton Mitchell's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 9 times, typically around a 20.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
19%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Keaton Mitchell's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 19%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Rushing Yards |
25.5 |
Under |
-111 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Rushing Yards |
24.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
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Keaton Mitchell (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keaton Mitchell is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.8% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 20 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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