Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Williams is Under 22.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +19.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL
Caleb Williams
CHI
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards
Under 22.5
-114 (1.88)
+19.9% Edge
![Away team]()
New Orleans Saints
@
![Home team]()
Chicago Bears
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Williams appears poised to make a leap in his second season with coach Ben Johnson in 2026, Alyssa Barbieri of Bears Wire reports.
updated Jun 25, 2:55AM UTC · 26d old
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Implied Probability
53.2%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards | 73.1% | — | 53.2% | 1.37 | +19.9% |
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Caleb Williams (CHI) Under 22.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formRushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted 22.5typical line · rushing yds
line range17.5–22.5tips tracked12
Caleb Williams's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 22.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7
Caleb Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Passing Yards73 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–214.5model over98%tips tracked73
Caleb Williams's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 73 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Caleb Williams (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Williams is Under 22.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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