Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Williams is Under 22.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 53%, edge +19.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:39PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards
Under 22.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+19.9% Edge
New Orleans Saints
@
Chicago Bears
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Williams completed two of five passes for 28 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions in the Bears' 27-9 preseason loss to the Bengals on Saturday.
updated Aug 23, 2:34AM UTC · 7d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
73 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 73.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +19.9%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards | 73.1% | — | 53.2% | 1.37 | +19.9% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
Caleb Williams (CHI) Under 22.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formRushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted 22.5typical line · rushing yds
line range17.5–22.5tips tracked12
Caleb Williams's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 22.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7
Caleb Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Passing Yards73 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–214.5model over98%tips tracked73
Caleb Williams's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 73 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Caleb Williams (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Williams is Under 22.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.