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NFL

Caleb Williams

CHI

Value call

Caleb Williams has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,700 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 6.3% · before adjusting for past results 22.8% · the book's price implies 5.9% · gap +0.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 1:00 PM ET
Caleb Williams
to score a touchdown
Last Touchdown Scorer Yes +1600 (17.00) · $100→$1,700
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$170.00 Odds+1600
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Williams is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:40AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Bears head coach Ben Johnson said that Williams (hamstring) will be listed as a full practice participant on Wednesday's estimated injury report, Sean Hammond of the Chicago Tribune reports.
updated Oct 14, 4:30PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Last Touchdown Scorer22.8%6.3%5.9%17.00+16.9%

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AI Analysis

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Caleb Williams (CHI) Yes Player last td (+1600)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chicago Bears play Minnesota Vikings in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Williams (CHI) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $170 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted
22.5typical line · rushing yds
line range17.5–22.5tips tracked12

Caleb Williams's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 22.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards73 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–214.5model over98%tips tracked73

Caleb Williams's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 73 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
41%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

Caleb Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 41%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Caleb Williams average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Caleb Williams (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Williams is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears on Sunday 20 September at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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