Seth McGowan has one live pick today: over 9.5 rushing yards that pays $124 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
89 in 100
Predicted
27.2 rushing yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 88.6% · the book's price implies 80.7% · gap +8.0%.
Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Cowboys
@
Indianapolis Colts
Seth McGowan
over 9.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 9.5
-417 (1.24) · $100→$124
Value call
HIGHWins about 89 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$12.40
Odds-417
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Seth McGowan is Over 9.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 89%, the price says 81%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Seth McGowan playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Seth McGowan is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
McGowan rushed five times for 29 yards and returned four kickoffs for 103 yards Sunday in a loss to the Jaguars.
updated Nov 3, 1:32AM UTC · 5d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 88.6% | — | 80.7% | 1.24 | +8.0% |
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Seth McGowan (IND) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate (-417)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Seth McGowan (IND) Over 9.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -417 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Seth McGowan's lines for Sun 8 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5
Seth McGowan's rushing yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5
Seth McGowan's rushing yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5
Seth McGowan's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Rushing Yards 25.5
-114 best over price · 5 books
Seth McGowan's rushing yards line is 25.5, best over price -114 across 5 books.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
Seth McGowan's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveRushing YardsNext game · Dallas CowboysO 9.5 -417 9.5posted line · rushing yds
Seth McGowan has a live NFL rushing yards market for Dallas Cowboys: over 9.5 rushing yds priced at -417.
Anytime TD20 lines trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked20
Seth McGowan's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 20 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Rushing Yards |
22.5 |
Under |
-108 |
✗ MISS |
| 25 Oct 26 |
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
29.5 |
Over |
+431 |
✓ HIT |
| 18 Oct 26 |
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts |
Rushing Yards |
11.5 |
Over |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 18 Oct 26 |
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 18 Oct 26 |
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 18 Oct 26 |
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Seth McGowan (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Seth McGowan is Over 9.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 8 November at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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