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Treylon Burks

WAS

Value call

Treylon Burks has one live pick today: under 28.5 receiving yards that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
27.3 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.4% · before adjusting for past results 63.1% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap -2.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Thu 12 Nov, 8:15 PM ET
Treylon Burks
under 28.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 28.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.00 Odds-111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Treylon Burks is Under 28.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Burks caught two of three targets for 27 yards Thursday in a 24-21 win over the Giants.
updated Nov 14, 12:25AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards63.1%50.4%52.6%2.01+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders: Treylon Burks Under 28.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The bet on Treylon Burks' receiving yards being under 28.5 seems solid at these odds. Our numbers show a good chance for this pick, especially since the New York Giants' pass rush has been effective in putting pressure on quarterbacks. Burks' chances to rack up yards could be limited as the Giants have been known to disrupt passing plays, making it harder for him to get open. It's worth noting that the Washington Commanders' quarterback also faced similar challenges, seeing extra pressure often during the season. With both teams closely matched and the Giants' defense showing they can limit receiving yards, this bet could be a smart choice. Just remember, there's always a chance things might not go as planned.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Treylon Burks's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions14 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over63%tips tracked14

Treylon Burks's NFL receptions prop has been priced 14 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards7 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–28.5model over87%tips tracked7

Treylon Burks's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards 28.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders Receptions (Alt) 2.5 Over +265 ✓ HIT
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Treylon Burks (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Treylon Burks is Under 28.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs New York Giants on Thursday 12 November at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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