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NFL

Isaiah Williams

NYJ

Value call

Isaiah Williams has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 10.7% · before adjusting for past results 19.2% · the book's price implies 6.3% · gap +4.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
New York · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Isaiah Williams
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1500 (16.00) · $100→$1,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 11 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$160.00 Odds+1500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Williams is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 11:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Williams caught an 18-yard touchdown on his lone target in Sunday's 38-33 loss to the Raiders.
updated Nov 2, 4:55AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD19.2%10.7%6.3%16.00+13.0%

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AI Analysis

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New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders: Isaiah Williams Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1400)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The New York Jets have been leaning more on their passing game, and Isaiah Williams has shown he can be a key player in that mix. With their quarterback facing extra rushers quite often, he needs reliable targets, and Williams can be just that. The Jets' offense has performed better through the air, making this a good chance for Williams to find the end zone. On the other side, the Las Vegas Raiders have also been struggling with pressure on their quarterback, and that makes it tough for their defense to focus solely on stopping Williams. While he's an outsider in this matchup, the odds suggest he might just surprise everyone. The biggest risk here is that the game could be close, and the Jets may not have enough scoring opportunities.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards42 lines trackedNo line posted
22.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over56%tips tracked42

Isaiah Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 42 times, typically around a 22.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions16 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over45%tips tracked16

Isaiah Williams's NFL receptions prop has been priced 16 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD16 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked16

Isaiah Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 16 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -417 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -1000 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaiah Williams (NYJ) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Williams is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.0% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets on Sunday 1 November at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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