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NFL

Jerry Jeudy

CLE

Value call

Jerry Jeudy has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $426 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
28 in 100
Predicted
2.2 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 27.6% · before adjusting for past results 37.4% · the book's price implies 23.5% · gap +4.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets
New York · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Jerry Jeudy
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 2.5 +326 (4.26) · $100→$426
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 28 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$42.60 Odds+326
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jerry Jeudy is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 28 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 28%, the price says 23%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:47AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Jeudy hauled in three of seven targets for 19 yards during Sunday's 17-12 loss against the Jets.
updated Oct 13, 1:42AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)37.4%27.6%23.5%4.26+13.9%

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AI Analysis

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New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns: Jerry Jeudy Over 2.5 Receptions (Alt) (+326)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jerry Jeudy has been a strong target for the Cleveland Browns, and he might have a great game against the New York Jets. The Jets struggled against running backs last season, and that opens up opportunities for receivers like Jeudy to get plenty of catches. Plus, the Jets' quarterback faced extra rushers more often than average, which means he'll likely lean on quick passes to his reliable targets. While Jeudy's chances look good, the risk is that the Jets have a decent home defense that could limit his opportunities. Still, with the odds at +326, it feels like a smart bet to take the over on 2.5 receptions for Jeudy. He's got a real shot to come through in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)
Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 55.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards51 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over57%tips tracked51

Jerry Jeudy's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 51 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions28 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over61%tips tracked28

Jerry Jeudy's NFL receptions prop has been priced 28 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Jerry Jeudy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Jerry Jeudy average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receptions (Alt) 2.5 Over +326 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receptions 1.5 Over +104 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receptions (Alt) 1.5 Over +102 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ New York Jets Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jerry Jeudy (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 55.0% on tracked Jerry Jeudy picks. The latest model pick for Jerry Jeudy is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets on Sunday 11 October at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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