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NFL

DK Metcalf

PIT

Value call

DK Metcalf has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $122 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
51.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.3% · before adjusting for past results 90.0% · the book's price implies 82.0% · gap +2.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
DK Metcalf
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 -455 (1.22) · $100→$122
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.20 Odds-455
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for DK Metcalf is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 82%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 4:20AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)90.0%84.3%82.0%1.22+8.1%

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts: DK Metcalf Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-588)

Odds correct at time of publishing

DK Metcalf has been playing well lately, and he's set to have a big game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers have a solid defense, allowing very few touchdowns to running backs, which might push the Colts to rely more on their passing game. Metcalf's ability to stretch the field can create opportunities, especially if the Steelers focus on stopping the run. The bet is for DK Metcalf to get over 24.5 receiving yards. The Steelers have faced a lot of extra pressure this season, which could lead to quicker throws. While the Steelers are tough at home, Metcalf has the skills to shine. The biggest risk here is that both teams are fairly close in talent, so nothing is guaranteed.

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Pick History & Track Record

DK Metcalf's lines for Sun 11 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

DK Metcalf's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receptions 4.5
+120 best over price · 12 books

DK Metcalf's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +120 across 12 books.

Receiving Yards 53.5
-114 best over price · 4 books

DK Metcalf's receiving yards line is 53.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

DK Metcalf's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5

DK Metcalf's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5

DK Metcalf's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards 52.5
-110 best over price · 4 books

DK Metcalf's receiving yards line is 52.5, best over price -110 across 4 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5

DK Metcalf's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsU 53.5 -114
53.5posted line · receiving yds

DK Metcalf has a live NFL receiving yards market for Indianapolis Colts: under 53.5 receiving yds priced at -114.

ReceptionsNext game · Indianapolis ColtsU 4.5 -143
4.5posted line · receptions

DK Metcalf has a live NFL receptions market for Indianapolis Colts: under 4.5 receptions priced at -143.

Anytime TD10 lines trackedNo line posted
37%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked10

DK Metcalf's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 10 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 37%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does DK Metcalf average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

DK Metcalf (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for DK Metcalf is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.1% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 11 October at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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