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Today's UFC Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Fight

Our pick for every UFC fight coming up, best first. All 8 are below, top pick free. See each fighter's chance to win on UFC odds for the next card.

8 fights coming up, and the first pick of every fight is free

Best UFC bet today: Petr Yan at Merab Dvalishvili: Under Total Rounds 4.5 at +280, lean confidence. Merab Dvalishvili fights Petr Yan on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. 8 games on the board.

Today's UFC predictions, every fight

The one we'd back first · Petr Yan v Merab Dvalishvili
Petr Yan at Merab Dvalishvili: Under Total Rounds 4.5 +280
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.3%
$50 returns$190.00
The rest of the cardfull reasoning on each game below
Petr Yan v Merab DvalishviliPetr Yan v Merab Dvalishvili Petr Yan at Merab Dvalishvili: Under Total Rounds 4.5 Lean55% chance +280
Jacob Malkoun v Abubakar VagaevJacob Malkoun v Abubakar Vagaev Jacob Malkoun at Abubakar Vagaev: Under Total Rounds 2.5 Lean48% chance +265
Dominick Reyes v Azamat MurzakanovDominick Reyes v Azamat Murzakanov Dominick Reyes at Azamat Murzakanov: Dominick Reyes Moneyline Lean45% chance +210
Movsar Evloev v Alexander VolkanovskiMovsar Evloev v Alexander Volkanovski Movsar Evloev at Alexander Volkanovski: Movsar Evloev Moneyline Lean51% chance -105
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev v Nikita KrylovAbdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev v Nikita Krylov Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at Nikita Krylov: Nikita Krylov Moneyline Long-shot34% chance +375
Rizvan Kuniev v Alexander VolkovRizvan Kuniev v Alexander Volkov Rizvan Kuniev at Alexander Volkov: Rizvan Kuniev Moneyline Lean46% chance +105
Losene Keita v Aaron PicoLosene Keita v Aaron Pico Losene Keita at Aaron Pico: Aaron Pico Moneyline Lean44% chance +100
Nurullo Aliev v Grant DawsonNurullo Aliev v Grant Dawson Nurullo Aliev at Grant Dawson: Nurullo Aliev Moneyline Lean42% chance +110
Petr Yan v Merab DvalishviliPetr Yan v Merab Dvalishvili Moneyline Long-shot39% chance —
Jacob Malkoun v Abubakar VagaevJacob Malkoun v Abubakar Vagaev Moneyline Long-shot37% chance —
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev v Nikita KrylovAbdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev v Nikita Krylov Total Rounds 1.5 Long-shot40% chance —
Losene Keita v Aaron PicoLosene Keita v Aaron Pico Total Rounds 1.5 Long-shot38% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
4 more picks on the card
Unlock all picks
UFC • Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Petr Yan Away
vs.
Home Merab Dvalishvili
Show Picks
Petr Yan at Merab Dvalishvili: Under Total Rounds 4.5
Chance to win 55.3%
The price says 26.3%
Best price +280

Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan: Under 4.5 total rounds (+280)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Merab Dvalishvili fights Petr Yan on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. This one lands if the fight is finished inside 4.5 rounds. It was priced at +280 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $38 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. The bet we are looking at is Under 4.5 total rounds. That is a total rounds bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Petr Yan at Merab Dvalishvili · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Jacob Malkoun vs. Abubakar Vagaev 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Jacob Malkoun Away
vs.
Home Abubakar Vagaev
Show Picks
Jacob Malkoun at Abubakar Vagaev: Under Total Rounds 2.5
Chance to win 48.4%
The price says 27.4%
Best price +265

Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun: Under 2.5 Total Rounds (+265)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds of +265 for under 2.5 rounds in the fight between Abubakar Vagaev and Jacob Malkoun look promising. Both fighters have styles that could lead to a quick finish, with Vagaev known for his powerful striking and Malkoun being a smart wrestler. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance this fight won't go the distance, with an expected total of about 1.1 rounds. The biggest risk here is that both fighters are quite competitive, so it could turn into a longer battle if they manage to counter each other's strengths. However, given their skills and recent performances, a quick finish feels likely. This bet could be worth a shot if you think the action will heat up fast!

Jacob Malkoun at Abubakar Vagaev · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Dominick Reyes vs. Azamat Murzakanov 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Dominick Reyes Away
vs.
Home Azamat Murzakanov
Show Picks
Dominick Reyes at Azamat Murzakanov: Dominick Reyes Moneyline
Chance to win 44.5%
The price says 32.3%
Best price +210

Azamat Murzakanov vs Dominick Reyes: Dominick Reyes to win the fight (+210)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Azamat Murzakanov fights Dominick Reyes on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Dominick Reyes gets the win. It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Dominick Reyes to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Movsar Evloev vs. Alexander Volkanovski 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Movsar Evloev Away
vs.
Home Alexander Volkanovski
Show Picks
Movsar Evloev at Alexander Volkanovski: Movsar Evloev Moneyline
Chance to win 51.5%
The price says 51.3%
Best price -105

Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev: Movsar Evloev to win the fight (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Alexander Volkanovski fights Movsar Evloev on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Movsar Evloev gets the win. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. The bet we are looking at is Movsar Evloev to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev vs. Nikita Krylov 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev Away
vs.
Home Nikita Krylov
Show Picks
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at Nikita Krylov: Nikita Krylov Moneyline
Chance to win 33.5%
The price says 21.1%
Best price +375

Nikita Krylov vs Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev: Nikita Krylov to win the fight (+375)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nikita Krylov fights Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Nikita Krylov gets the win. It was priced at +375 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $47.50 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Nikita Krylov to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at Nikita Krylov · Total Rounds 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Rizvan Kuniev vs. Alexander Volkov 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Rizvan Kuniev Away
vs.
Home Alexander Volkov
Show Picks
Rizvan Kuniev at Alexander Volkov: Rizvan Kuniev Moneyline
Chance to win 46.3%
The price says 48.8%
Best price +105

Alexander Volkov vs Rizvan Kuniev: Rizvan Kuniev to win the fight (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Alexander Volkov fights Rizvan Kuniev on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Rizvan Kuniev gets the win. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Rizvan Kuniev to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Losene Keita vs. Aaron Pico 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Losene Keita Away
vs.
Home Aaron Pico
Show Picks
Losene Keita at Aaron Pico: Aaron Pico Moneyline
Chance to win 44.0%
The price says 50.0%
Best price +100

Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: Aaron Pico to win the fight (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Aaron Pico fights Losene Keita on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Aaron Pico gets the win. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Pico to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Losene Keita at Aaron Pico · Total Rounds 1.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Nurullo Aliev vs. Grant Dawson 2026-10-24 00:00 •
Nurullo Aliev Away
vs.
Home Grant Dawson
Show Picks
Nurullo Aliev at Grant Dawson: Nurullo Aliev Moneyline
Chance to win 42.1%
The price says 47.6%
Best price +110

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: Nurullo Aliev to win the fight (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Grant Dawson fights Nurullo Aliev on the UFC card on Saturday 24 October 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Nurullo Aliev gets the win. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Nurullo Aliev to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Quick answer

What are UFC picks?

UFC picks are model-generated predictions for UFC betting markets including moneyline (winner), method of victory, total rounds and fight props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming UFC game with predictions across all major markets. Expand any game to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

UFC pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
Moneyline Which fighter wins the bout outright, by any method. Simple single bet or a low-risk multi leg.
Method of Victory How a fighter wins — KO/TKO, Submission or Decision. Clear stylistic mismatches where the finish is predictable.
Total Rounds Over or under a set number of rounds. Finishing rates, durability, cardio and pace trends.
Fight Props Go the distance, round betting and method combinations. Exploit style edges, finishing tendencies or recent form streaks.

How to read UFC picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a game. Games are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that matchup.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated UFC picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Checked every day

Our model checks every UFC game on the board each day and gives each pick its chance to win, logged before it starts.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

UFC Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are UFC picks?

UFC picks are our model's call on which side to back in a UFC fight. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between UFC picks and UFC best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every UFC fight on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day.

What types of UFC picks are available?

We post UFC picks on who wins the fight, how the fight ends, and whether it goes the distance. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are UFC picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use UFC picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the UFC Multis page.

Does Bet Better guarantee UFC picks will win?

No, and nobody can. UFC picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do UFC picks come out?

As soon as the day's fights and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Fight cards are mostly weekly, so the page fills up in the days before an event.

Do you pick every UFC fight?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some fights get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one fight.

Do I have to pay to see the UFC picks?

The first pick in every fight is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

Today's selected board

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