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Today's UFC Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Every Fight

Our pick for every UFC fight coming up, best first. All 7 are below, top pick free. See each fighter's chance to win on UFC odds for the next card.

7 fights coming up, and the first pick of every fight is free

Best UFC bet today: Ciryl Gane at Josh Hokit: Josh Hokit Moneyline at +199, lean confidence. Josh Hokit fights Ciryl Gane on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. 7 games on the board.

Today's UFC predictions, every fight

The one we'd back first · Ciryl Gane v Josh Hokit
Ciryl Gane at Josh Hokit: Josh Hokit Moneyline +199
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.9%
$50 returns$149.50
The rest of the cardfull reasoning on each game below
Ciryl Gane v Josh HokitCiryl Gane v Josh Hokit Ciryl Gane at Josh Hokit: Josh Hokit Moneyline Lean45% chance +199
Melquizael Costa v Jared GordonMelquizael Costa v Jared Gordon Melquizael Costa at Jared Gordon: Jared Gordon Moneyline Long-shot36% chance +300
Bilal Hasan v Luis GuruleBilal Hasan v Luis Gurule Bilal Hasan at Luis Gurule: Luis Gurule Moneyline Long-shot27% chance +700
Kayla Harrison v Amanda NunesKayla Harrison v Amanda Nunes Kayla Harrison at Amanda Nunes: Amanda Nunes Moneyline Lean42% chance +169
Charles Radtke v Stephen ThompsonCharles Radtke v Stephen Thompson Charles Radtke at Stephen Thompson: Charlie Radtke Moneyline Lean47% chance +118
Terrance McKinney v Jim MillerTerrance McKinney v Jim Miller Terrance McKinney at Jim Miller: Terrance Mckinney Moneyline Lean59% chance -213
Samuel Sanches v Evan ElderSamuel Sanches v Evan Elder Samuel Sanches at Evan Elder: Samuel Sanches Moneyline Lean44% chance +100
Ciryl Gane v Josh HokitCiryl Gane v Josh Hokit Total Rounds 3.5 High60% chance —
Kayla Harrison v Amanda NunesKayla Harrison v Amanda Nunes Total Rounds 3.5 Lean52% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
2 more picks on the card
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UFC • Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit 2026-11-15 00:00 •
Ciryl Gane Away
vs.
Home Josh Hokit
Show Picks
Ciryl Gane at Josh Hokit: Josh Hokit Moneyline
Chance to win 44.9%
The price says 33.4%
Best price +199

Josh Hokit vs Ciryl Gane: Josh Hokit to win the fight (+199)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Josh Hokit fights Ciryl Gane on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Josh Hokit gets the win. It was priced at +199 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.90 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Josh Hokit to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Ciryl Gane at Josh Hokit · Total Rounds 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Melquizael Costa vs. Jared Gordon 2026-11-15 00:00 •
Melquizael Costa Away
vs.
Home Jared Gordon
Show Picks
Melquizael Costa at Jared Gordon: Jared Gordon Moneyline
Chance to win 36.1%
The price says 25.0%
Best price +300

Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa: Jared Gordon to win the fight (+300)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jared Gordon fights Melquizael Costa on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Jared Gordon gets the win. It was priced at +300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $40 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Jared Gordon to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Bilal Hasan vs. Luis Gurule 2026-11-15 00:00 •
Bilal Hasan Away
vs.
Home Luis Gurule
Show Picks
Bilal Hasan at Luis Gurule: Luis Gurule Moneyline Best price on this pick: +700 at BetMGM — top of the 12 books we track (most offer +575).
Chance to win 27.4%
The price says 12.5%
Best price +700

Luis Gurule vs Bilal Hasan: Luis Gurule to win the fight (+700)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Luis Gurule fights Bilal Hasan on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Luis Gurule gets the win. It was priced at +700 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $80 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Luis Gurule to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes 2026-11-15 00:00 •
Kayla Harrison Away
vs.
Home Amanda Nunes
Show Picks
Kayla Harrison at Amanda Nunes: Amanda Nunes Moneyline
Chance to win 42.3%
The price says 37.2%
Best price +169

Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison: Amanda Nunes to win the fight (+169)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Amanda Nunes fights Kayla Harrison on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Amanda Nunes gets the win. It was priced at +169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.90 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so treat it as a small punt. The bet we are looking at is Amanda Nunes to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla Harrison at Amanda Nunes · Total Rounds 3.5 Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
Chance to win
The price says
UFC • Charles Radtke vs. Stephen Thompson 2026-11-15 00:00 •
Charles Radtke Away
vs.
Home Stephen Thompson
Show Picks
Charles Radtke at Stephen Thompson: Charlie Radtke Moneyline
Chance to win 47.3%
The price says 45.9%
Best price +118

Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke: Charlie Radtke to win the fight (+118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Stephen Thompson fights Charles Radtke on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Charlie Radtke gets the win. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Charlie Radtke to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Terrance McKinney vs. Jim Miller 2026-11-15 00:00 •
Terrance McKinney Away
vs.
Home Jim Miller
Show Picks
Terrance McKinney at Jim Miller: Terrance Mckinney Moneyline Best price on this pick: -217 at Ladbrokes — top of the 5 books we track (most offer -222).
Chance to win 58.9%
The price says 68.0%
Best price -213

Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinney: Terrance Mckinney to win the fight (-213)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jim Miller fights Terrance McKinney on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Terrance Mckinney gets the win. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. The bet we are looking at is Terrance Mckinney to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UFC • Samuel Sanches vs. Evan Elder 2026-11-15 00:00 •
Samuel Sanches Away
vs.
Home Evan Elder
Show Picks
Samuel Sanches at Evan Elder: Samuel Sanches Moneyline Best price on this pick: +100 at William Hill — top of the 5 books we track (most offer -105).
Chance to win 44.0%
The price says 50.0%
Best price +100

Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches: Samuel Sanches to win the fight (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Evan Elder fights Samuel Sanches on the UFC card on Sunday 15 November 2026. This is a straight fight-winner bet, so it lands if Samuel Sanches gets the win. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. The bet we are looking at is Samuel Sanches to win the fight. That is a fight winner bet. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Quick answer

What are UFC picks?

UFC picks are model-generated predictions for UFC betting markets including moneyline (winner), method of victory, total rounds and fight props. Bet Better makes its picks with a model that works out how often each result happens, compares that to the bookmakers' prices, and lists the bets where the price looks too generous, with the reasoning written in plain English on every pick.

What you get on this page

Every upcoming UFC game with predictions across all major markets. Expand any game to see picks ranked strongest first, with probability, best odds, and the model's full reasoning. For player markets, jump to Props.

Probability Model

The model's estimated chance the outcome wins. A probability of 65% means the model thinks it wins 65 times in 100 equivalent scenarios.

Edge Value

The gap between model probability and the bookmaker's chance the price suggests from odds. A pick means the model thinks the true chance is higher than the price suggests.

Best Odds Market

The top available decimal odds at the time of calculation. Odds move — always verify at your sportsbook before placing a bet.

UFC pick types — what's on this page?

Market reference
Market What it means Best used for
Moneyline Which fighter wins the bout outright, by any method. Simple single bet or a low-risk multi leg.
Method of Victory How a fighter wins — KO/TKO, Submission or Decision. Clear stylistic mismatches where the finish is predictable.
Total Rounds Over or under a set number of rounds. Finishing rates, durability, cardio and pace trends.
Fight Props Go the distance, round betting and method combinations. Exploit style edges, finishing tendencies or recent form streaks.

How to read UFC picks in 4 steps

  1. Find a game. Games are listed in chronological order. Tap "Show Picks" to expand markets and reasoning for that matchup.
  2. Check model probability. This is the model's estimated chance the outcome wins. Compare it against the chance suggested by odds to judge value yourself.
  3. Read the gap. A pick is stronger when the model's chance is clearly higher than the bookmaker's price suggests. The bigger that gap, the more the price is in your favour.
  4. Verify best odds. Odds displayed are a snapshot — always confirm at your sportsbook before placing. Line shopping across books on a strong pick makes a real difference to your long-run results.
Note: This page shows all model-generated UFC picks — the strongest plays are sorted to the top of each game. All betting involves risk — always bet within your limits.
Data first

The model's chance, a value call, and best odds are shown for every pick — so you judge each selection on numbers rather than feel.

Checked every day

Our model checks every UFC game on the board each day and gives each pick its chance to win, logged before it starts.

Responsible betting

Picks are informational only. Betting involves risk and variance. Use stake limits and only wager what you can afford to lose.

UFC Picks FAQ

Quick answers
What are UFC picks?

UFC picks are our model's call on which side to back in a UFC fight. The model reads past results and the current bookmaker prices, then names the side it rates best and says why in plain words.

What is the difference between UFC picks and UFC best bets?

This page is the full list, and best bets is the short list. Picks cover every UFC fight on the card across every market, while best bets keeps only the ones the model rates strongest that day.

What types of UFC picks are available?

We post UFC picks on who wins the fight, how the fight ends, and whether it goes the distance. Game and player markets sit together inside each match, with the strongest pick at the top.

How often are UFC picks updated?

They refresh through the day, and again whenever team news or the bookmaker prices move. Later prices carry more information, so the list you see close to start time is the one to trust.

What makes something a pick here?

A pick is named when our model rates a side better than the bookmaker's price says. The wider that gap, the higher the confidence we show, and confidence is a lean over a long run of bets, never a promise on one game.

Can I use UFC picks as legs in multi bets?

Yes, any pick on this page can be a leg in a multi. Each extra leg makes the whole bet harder to land, so two or three strong legs beat a long list. For structured multi recommendations with a combined chance shown, use the UFC Multis page.

Does Bet Better guarantee UFC picks will win?

No, and nobody can. UFC picks are our best read of what is likely, and good picks still lose, so only ever stake money you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your health or finances, contact the National Gambling Helpline on 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

What time do UFC picks come out?

As soon as the day's fights and prices are up. The list is rebuilt several times a day, and again close to start time when team news and prices move, so the version you see nearest kick-off is the one to read. Fight cards are mostly weekly, so the page fills up in the days before an event.

Do you pick every UFC fight?

No. We only name a side when our model likes it more than the price suggests. Some fights get nothing at all, and that is on purpose - a quiet day here means there was nothing worth backing, not that something is broken.

What does HIGH confidence mean?

We say it in words, not numbers. HIGH means our model likes the pick the most. LEAN means it likes it, but less. LONG-SHOT means a big price that wins less often and pays more when it lands. Confidence is how it should go over a long run of bets, never a promise on one fight.

Do I have to pay to see the UFC picks?

The first pick in every fight is free to read, with no signup. The rest unlock with a subscription. Either way every pick we publish is graded in public, wins and losses, on our results page.

Today's selected board

See every UFC play that cleared the model's filter today

See today's UFC picks

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