Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Malik Washington is Under 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 75%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 4, 11:44AM UTC
NFL
Malik Washington
MIA
Malik Washington has one live pick today: Receptions Under 4.5 that pays $180 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions
Under 4.5
-125 (1.80) · $100→$180
Value call
Miami Dolphins
@
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 8:05PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Washington caught five of 10 targets for 56 yards in Sunday's 24-10 loss to Kansas City. He gained five rushing yards on two carries.
updated Sep 30, 2:17AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
75 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 74.9% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +19.3%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 74.9% | — | 55.6% | 1.91 | +19.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Malik Washington (MIA) Under 4.5 Receptions (-125)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Minnesota Vikings play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Malik Washington (MIA) Under 4.5 Receptions. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Malik Washington's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions 4.5
+123 best over price · 10 books
Malik Washington's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +123 across 10 books.
Receptions 3.5
-185 best over price · 2 books
Malik Washington's receptions line is 3.5, best over price -185 across 2 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Malik Washington's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Malik Washington's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
-213 best over price · 1 book
Malik Washington's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5, best over price -213 across 1 book.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Malik Washington's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5
Malik Washington's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Receiving Yards 35.5
-149 best over price · 1 book
Malik Washington's receiving yards line is 35.5, best over price -149 across 1 book.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceptionsNext game · Minnesota VikingsU 4.5 -128 4.5posted line · receptions
Malik Washington has a live NFL receptions market for Minnesota Vikings: under 4.5 receptions priced at -128.
Receiving YardsNext game · Minnesota VikingsO 14.5 -769 14.5posted line · receiving yds
Malik Washington has a live NFL receiving yards market for Minnesota Vikings: over 14.5 receiving yds priced at -769.
Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4
Malik Washington's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted 4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–39.5model over67%tips tracked6
Malik Washington's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 27 Sep 26 |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins |
Receiving Yards |
38.5 |
Under |
-110 |
✗ MISS |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins |
Receptions |
3.5 |
Under |
+108 |
✗ MISS |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
40.5 |
Over |
-110 |
✓ HIT |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 27 Sep 26 |
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Malik Washington (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Malik Washington is Under 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.3% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings on Sunday 4 October at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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