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The latest Bet Better model pick for Malik Washington is Over 6.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 62%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +9.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NFL

Malik Washington

MIA

+9.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Over 6.5 -112 (1.89)
+9.5% Edge
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Washington (thumb) is facing increased competition for targets and snaps after Miami selected three rookie wide receivers in the 2026 NFL Draft, Julio Vasquez of USA Today reports.
updated Apr 27, 4:11PM UTC · 84d old
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Model Probability
62.4%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+9.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards62.4%52.9%1.60+9.5%

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AI Analysis

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Malik Washington (MIA) Over 6.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Statistically speaking, betting on Malik Washington to get over 6.5 rushing yards against the New York Jets might not be a good choice. Over his last 20 attempts, Washington has only hit this mark 3 times (15%), and he has never succeeded in achieving this against the Jets in two attempts. His performance at home also isn't encouraging, with only a 16.7% successful hit rate. His recent performance shows a downward trend, with zero successful attempts in his last 10 games overall, and the last 3 games at home. His current hit streak in all categories is also zero. While the model edge is slightly in favor of this bet, the overwhelming statistical evidence suggests that Washington is unlikely to exceed 6.5 rushing yards in the upcoming game against the Jets.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–39.5model over67%tips tracked6

Malik Washington's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
16.5typical line · receiving yds
line range16.5–21.5tips tracked4

Malik Washington's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 16.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4

Malik Washington's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Malik Washington (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Malik Washington is Over 6.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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