Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Warren is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 25 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 25%, implied 9%, edge +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 7, 8:19PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
+15.8% Edge
Baltimore Ravens
@
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Warren (adductor) was spotted on the field participating in Tuesday's practice, Nathan Brown of The Indianapolis Star reports.
updated Sep 1, 2:26PM UTC · 6d old
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How often this wins
25 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 24.9% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap +15.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 24.9% | 24.9% | 9.1% | 11.00 | +15.8% |
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Tyler Warren (IND) Yes Player last td (+1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Warren (IND) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $110 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Tyler Warren's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Questionable
Tyler Warren's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Receptions (Alt) 9.5
-130 best over price · 8 booksQuestionable
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 9.5, best over price -130 across 8 books.
Receptions (Alt) 8.5
-130 best over price · 8 booksQuestionable
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 8.5, best over price -130 across 8 books.
Receptions (Alt) 7.5
-130 best over price · 8 booksQuestionable
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 7.5, best over price -130 across 8 books.
Receptions (Alt) 6.5
-130 best over price · 8 booksQuestionable
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 6.5, best over price -130 across 8 books.
Receptions (Alt) 5.5
-130 best over price · 8 booksQuestionable
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 5.5, best over price -130 across 8 books.
Receptions (Alt) 4.5
-130 best over price · 8 booksQuestionable
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 4.5, best over price -130 across 8 books.
Receptions (Alt) 3.5
-130 best over price · 8 booksQuestionable
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 3.5, best over price -130 across 8 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceptionsNext game · Baltimore RavensO 5.5 +154 5.5posted line · receptions
Tyler Warren has a live NFL receptions market for Baltimore Ravens: over 5.5 receptions priced at +154.
Receiving YardsNext game · Baltimore RavensO 24.5 -400 24.5posted line · receiving yds
Tyler Warren has a live NFL receiving yards market for Baltimore Ravens: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -400.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tyler Warren (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Warren is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 13 September at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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