Tyler Warren has one live pick today: under 5.5 receptions that pays $211 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
56 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 55.8% · the book's price implies 47.4% · gap +8.4%.
Latest Model PickFree
Miami Dolphins
@
Indianapolis Colts
Tyler Warren
under 5.5 receptions
Receptions
Under 5.5
+111 (2.11) · $100→$211
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$21.10
Odds+111
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Warren is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 47%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 5:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Tyler Warren playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Tyler Warren is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Warren may see more targets after the Colts traded wideouts Josh Downs and Keenan Allen on Tuesday, Chris Bumbaca of ColtsWire reports.
updated Nov 11, 9:10PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
See every number
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 55.8% | — | 47.4% | 2.24 | +8.4% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Tyler Warren (IND) Under 5.5 Receptions (+111)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Warren (IND) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Tyler Warren's lines for Sun 15 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions 5.5
-123 best over price · 18 books
Tyler Warren's receptions line is 5.5, best over price -123 across 18 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Tyler Warren's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Tyler Warren's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Tyler Warren's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Tyler Warren's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Tyler Warren's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards 44.5
-114 best over price · 5 books
Tyler Warren's receiving yards line is 44.5, best over price -114 across 5 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Miami DolphinsO 24.5 -500 24.5posted line · receiving yds
Tyler Warren has a live NFL receiving yards market for Miami Dolphins: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -500.
ReceptionsNext game · Miami DolphinsU 5.5 -102 5.5posted line · receptions
Tyler Warren has a live NFL receptions market for Miami Dolphins: under 5.5 receptions priced at -102.
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
25%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2
Tyler Warren's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 25%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 08 Nov 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
29.5 |
Over |
-227 |
✓ HIT |
| 08 Nov 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-333 |
✓ HIT |
| 08 Nov 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
39.5 |
Over |
-123 |
✓ HIT |
| 08 Nov 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 08 Nov 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 08 Nov 26 |
Dallas Cowboys @ Indianapolis Colts |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Tyler Warren (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Warren is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 15 November at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.