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NFL

Tyler Warren

IND

Value call

Tyler Warren has one live pick today: under 5.5 receptions that pays $198 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
4.6 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.9% · before adjusting for past results 69.2% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap -3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Tyler Warren
under 5.5 receptions
Receptions Under 5.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.80 Odds-102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Warren is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 10:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Warren (groin) did not practice Thursday.
updated Oct 22, 7:59PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions69.2%46.9%50.5%2.11+18.7%

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AI Analysis

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Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans: Tyler Warren Under 5.5 Receptions (-154)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Tyler Warren is up against the Tennessee Titans this week, and the matchup looks tricky for him. The Colts' defense has been solid against tight ends, allowing an average of just under half a touchdown per game. Plus, their quarterback often faces extra pressure, which could limit passing opportunities. While our numbers show a good chance for Warren to stay under 5.5 receptions, it's important to note that the Titans have faced their share of tough matchups. Just keep an eye on how the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards134 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–69.5model over98%tips tracked134

Tyler Warren's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 134 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions95 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–9.5model over71%tips tracked95

Tyler Warren's NFL receptions prop has been priced 95 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Tyler Warren average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -909 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Warren (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Warren is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 18 October at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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