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UPDATED LIVE MODEL PROBABILITY ODDS COMPARISON

La Liga odds today, priced against our model probability

Every La Liga line below shows the bookmaker price next to our model's true probability, so the value is easy to spot. Scan the table, find the gaps, bet the edge.

The one rule for this page
Value shows up when model probability is meaningfully higher than implied probability at the best available price.

Today's La Liga odds

Green column = model probability · compare against implied to find the edge
Odds checked in the last few minutes · 52 bookmakers

Next Real Sociedad @ Valencia · best Real Sociedad price 2.76 (+176) at Pinnacle

Today · Sunday, Sep 20
Real Sociedad logoReal SociedadatValencia logoValencia
52 books
Best Real Sociedad price: +$11 per $100 vs averageMarket backing Draw: 3.59 → 3.51 (50 books)
Winner price, last 48hReal Sociedad 2.55 · Sep 18 18:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.54 · Sep 18 22:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.54 · Sep 19 02:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.55 · Sep 19 06:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.55 · Sep 19 10:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.55 · Sep 19 14:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.55 · Sep 19 18:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.56 · Sep 19 22:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.56 · Sep 20 02:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.56 · Sep 20 06:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.55 · Sep 20 10:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.54 · Sep 20 14:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.54 · Sep 20 18:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.54 · Sep 20 22:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.54 · Sep 21 02:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.63 · Sep 21 04:00 UTCValencia 2.72 · Sep 18 18:00 UTCValencia 2.72 · Sep 18 22:00 UTCValencia 2.71 · Sep 19 02:00 UTCValencia 2.71 · Sep 19 06:00 UTCValencia 2.71 · Sep 19 10:00 UTCValencia 2.70 · Sep 19 14:00 UTCValencia 2.71 · Sep 19 18:00 UTCValencia 2.71 · Sep 19 22:00 UTCValencia 2.70 · Sep 20 02:00 UTCValencia 2.71 · Sep 20 06:00 UTCValencia 2.73 · Sep 20 10:00 UTCValencia 2.74 · Sep 20 14:00 UTCValencia 2.75 · Sep 20 18:00 UTCValencia 2.76 · Sep 20 22:00 UTCValencia 2.78 · Sep 21 02:00 UTCValencia 2.69 · Sep 21 04:00 UTCReal Sociedad 2.63Valencia 2.69
Winner
Real Sociedad2.76+176Pinnacle2-day highshould cost ~2.79
Draw3.50+250ESPN BETshould cost ~3.47
Valencia2.94+194Kalshishould cost ~2.83
Goal line
Real Sociedad01.98-102Pinnacleshould cost ~1.97
Valencia02.06+106Matchbookshould cost ~2.03
Total goals
Over2.52.04+104Matchbookshould cost ~2.01
Under2.51.96-104Kalshishould cost ~1.99
Compare all 52 bookmakers on this game
BookmakerReal Sociedad winDraw winValencia winReal Sociedad lineValencia lineOverUnder
1xBet2.743.442.770 1.960 1.982.5 2.022.5 1.92
Bally Bet2.703.202.702.5 1.882.5 1.88
Bet Victor2.603.402.62
Betano2.623.402.62
Betclic Fr2.523.282.58
Betfair Ex Eu2.743.402.88
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.723.402.90
Betfred2.623.402.62
BetMGM2.553.402.652.5 1.892.5 1.83
BetOnline2.723.422.670 1.910 1.982.5 1.952.5 1.88
betPARX2.703.202.702.5 1.882.5 1.88
BetRivers2.703.202.702.5 1.882.5 1.88
Betsson2.653.202.722.5 1.972.5 1.86
BetUS2.653.402.652.5 1.952.5 1.87
Betway2.603.302.62
Bovada2.703.302.650 1.930 1.892.5 1.952.5 1.87
BoyleSports2.503.302.50
Casumo2.703.202.702.5 1.882.5 1.88
Codere It2.653.352.702.5 1.872.5 1.81
Coolbet2.703.302.80-1 4.65+1 1.232.5 2.012.5 1.88
Coral2.603.402.62
DraftKings2.703.352.65
ESPN BET2.603.502.60
Everygame2.603.252.70
Fanatics2.603.402.65
FanDuel2.653.202.75
Grosvenor2.703.302.702.5 1.882.5 1.88
Hard Rock Bet2.703.202.70
Kalshi2.633.452.942.5 2.002.5 1.96
Ladbrokes (UK)2.603.402.62
LeoVegas2.553.302.652.5 1.882.5 1.85
Leovegas Se2.603.102.602.5 1.882.5 1.88
LiveScore Bet2.653.152.63
LowVig2.723.422.670 1.910 1.982.5 1.952.5 1.88
Marathonbet2.653.352.72
Matchbook2.723.402.880 1.910 2.062.5 2.042.5 1.95
Nordicbet2.623.202.752.5 1.952.5 1.82
Paddy Power2.503.202.70
Pinnacle2.763.382.710 1.980 1.942.5 1.992.5 1.91
Pmu Fr2.653.152.652.5 1.782.5 1.78
Polymarket2.743.512.902.5 2.022.5 1.98
Sky Bet2.603.302.70
Smarkets2.703.402.90
Tipico De2.603.202.752.5 1.872.5 1.87
Unibet (UK)2.603.302.65
Unibet Fr2.503.102.65
Unibet Nl2.753.352.752.5 1.882.5 1.88
Unibet Se2.753.352.752.5 1.892.5 1.89
Virginbet2.603.102.63
William Hill2.623.202.622.5 1.912.5 1.85
Winamax De2.553.402.60
Winamax Fr2.503.302.55
What's moving today
  • Real Sociedad @ Valencia · Market backing Draw: 3.59 → 3.51 (50 books)

Today's La Liga lines in one look

  • Real Sociedad are the favourite over Valencia at 2.70 (Hard Rock Bet), goal line 0; total 2.5 (opened 2.42). Preview →

Decimal prices, best book named. A price that opened higher or lower is shown in brackets.

Biggest moves since the market opened

SideOpenedBest nowMove
Real Sociedad to win (Real Sociedad @ Valencia)2.422.76drifted 14%
Valencia to win (Real Sociedad @ Valencia)2.672.94drifted 10%

Shortened = more money on that side since open; drifted = less.

Who had the best price most often

BookBest priceShare
Matchbook2 of 729%
Polymarket2 of 729%
Pinnacle2 of 729%
Kalshi1 of 714%

Across every market on today's board. Ties count for each book.

The crowd vs the apps · 20 Sep 2026

As of 20 Sep 2026, traders on Kalshi and the sportsbooks disagree by 5 points or more on none of the 1 La Liga games still to be played; the biggest difference is Real Sociedad (crowd 53%, sportsbooks 50%).

  • Real Sociedad to beat Valencia: the crowd on Kalshi has them 53% likely; the sportsbooks say 50% (best 2.70 at Hard Rock Bet). The crowd rates them 3 points more likely. Preview →

The crowd number is what people are paying on a prediction exchange, turned into a chance to win. The sportsbook number is the best regulated price with the bookmaker's margin taken out. A big gap means the two markets see the game differently. Every exchange and sportsbook price, live →

Game Info Market Outcome Bookmaker Odds (Decimal/American) Model Probability Implied Probability Prediction
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Moneyline Valencia fanduel 2.80 / +180 34.8% 34.3% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (-1.5) fanduel 6.40 / +540 15.1% 14.8% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (-0.3) draftkings 2.25 / +125 41.2% 41.1% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (0.0) draftkings 1.91 / -110 49.3% 48.5% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (0.3) draftkings 1.65 / -154 55.9% 56.0% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (0.5) draftkings 1.50 / -200 62.2% 62.0% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (-1.5) fanduel 6.40 / +540 15.1% 14.8% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (2.5) fanduel 1.02 / -5000 94.4% 92.7% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Spread Valencia (1.5) fanduel 1.13 / -769 83.2% 83.2% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Goals Under (3.5) draftkings 1.32 / -312 70.3% 72.0% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Goals Under (4.5) draftkings 1.11 / -909 85.9% 86.1% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Goals Under (5.5) draftkings 1.03 / -3333 93.9% 93.1% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Goals Under (2.5) fanduel 1.89 / -112 47.6% 50.8% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Goals Under (6.5) fanduel 1.01 / -10000 98.0% 96.6% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Both Teams to Score No fanduel 2.20 / +120 42.4% 43.4% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Draw No Bet Valencia fanduel 1.98 / -102 49.0% 48.0% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (6.5) fanduel 1.21 / -476 83.2% 77.2% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (9.5) fanduel 2.30 / +130 50.1% 42.4% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (12.5) fanduel 6.50 / +550 17.7% 14.5% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (4.5) fanduel 1.03 / -3333 94.6% 92.7% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (5.5) fanduel 1.10 / -1000 90.1% 86.4% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (13.5) fanduel 10.50 / +950 10.9% 9.1% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (14.5) fanduel 17.00 / +1600 6.3% 5.7% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (10.5) fanduel 3.10 / +210 37.7% 31.4% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (11.5) fanduel 4.50 / +350 26.7% 21.6% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (8.5) fanduel 1.74 / -135 62.5% 55.3% -
Sep 20, 7:00 PM
@
La Real @ Valencia
Total Corners Over (7.5) fanduel 1.41 / -244 73.9% 67.3% -
Unlock the model's probability & prediction — bookmaker odds & implied probability stay free.

What are La Liga odds?

La Liga odds are bookmaker prices for Spanish league markets like 1X2 (home, draw, away), handicaps, totals (over under), and team props. Odds imply a probability. Bet Better adds a model probability so you can compare the two.

Implied probability from odds Model probability from analytics Prediction outcome or line

Best way to find value

Scan for outcomes where model probability is higher than implied probability, then compare prices across bookmakers. For deeper context, use Best Bets and Picks pages for La Liga.

How to read the columns

Column What it means
Odds Bookmaker price in decimal and American formats.
Implied Probability The chance suggested by the bookmaker odds (before margin adjustment).
Model Probability Bet Better estimated chance based on historical and matchup signals.
Prediction Projected outcome (team or line) for the displayed market.

Next steps for La Liga bettors

Use Live Odds to compare prices, then move to picks and markets built around edge detection and matchup context.

How To Bet Guides

Learn fundamentals and strategies for betting on your favorite sports:

La Liga odds explained in plain English

La Liga odds represent the bookmaker price for each outcome. Bet Better pairs those prices with implied probability and model probability so you can quickly evaluate whether the market price looks efficient.

La Liga 1X2 (Moneyline) odds

1X2 markets price Home Win, Draw, and Away Win. Compare the best available price across bookmakers, then check whether model probability supports that outcome at the current line.

La Liga handicap (spread) odds

Handicap markets adjust teams by a goal line (for example, -0.5 or +1.0). This can create more stable pricing than 1X2 in mismatches. Look for gaps where model probability exceeds implied probability at the best price.

La Liga totals (over under) odds

Totals price the number of goals scored in the match (for example, 2.5). Totals are often influenced by tempo, shot quality, and finishing variance. Comparing prices across books helps reduce margin and improve expected value.

Team props and additional markets

Team props vary by bookmaker and match day. If a market is listed, the table will display the available outcome and price, alongside implied and model probabilities where supported.

Responsible betting note

Odds and predictions are informational. Always manage risk, stake responsibly, and treat variance as part of betting.

La Liga odds FAQ

What are La Liga odds?

La Liga odds are bookmaker prices for Spanish league markets like 1X2, handicaps, totals, and props. Odds imply a probability, which you can compare to Bet Better model probability to identify potential value.

How do I read decimal and American odds?

Decimal odds show total return per 1 unit staked. American odds show profit on a 100 unit base (positive) or stake needed to win 100 (negative). Bet Better displays both to make comparisons quicker.

What is implied probability?

Implied probability is the chance suggested by the bookmaker odds. It can be compared against model probability to highlight outcomes that may be mispriced.

How do I find value bets on this page?

Start with the best available odds across bookmakers, then look for outcomes where model probability is higher than implied probability. Bigger gaps can signal value, especially when backed by matchup context.

Why are there sometimes no odds shown?

Between match days or when markets are not posted, odds may be unavailable. In that case, you will see a notice and can browse the latest La Liga news.

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