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NFL

Brandon Smith

PIT

Value call

Brandon Smith has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,900 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 11.0% · the book's price implies 5.3% · gap +5.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Brandon Smith
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1800 (19.00) · $100→$1,900
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 11 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$190.00 Odds+1800
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brandon Smith is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 5:56PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
The Steelers elevated Smith from the practice squad Saturday ahead of Sunday's game against the Bucs.
updated Oct 18, 2:41AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD11.0%—5.3%19.00+5.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Brandon Smith Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1800)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Brandon Smith as an anytime touchdown scorer at +1800 offers a lot of excitement for a small wager. The Pittsburgh Steelers are tough on defense, especially when it comes to not allowing touchdowns to running backs, but Smith could be a surprising play for them. The Buccaneers' quarterback has faced extra rushers often, which could lead to more passing opportunities in short yardage situations. While Tampa Bay has had a rough time on grass with their recent record, they do have moments where they can shine. With Smith being an outsider pick, there's a definite risk given how strong the Steelers' defense is against scoring. However, he could capitalize on any chance that comes his way in the red zone.

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Pick History & Track Record

Brandon Smith's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Anytime TD

Brandon Smith's anytime td line is posted.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Brandon Smith's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brandon Smith (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brandon Smith is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 18 October at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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