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Gunnar Helm

TEN

Value call

Gunnar Helm has one live pick today: under 2.5 receptions that pays $206 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
2.4 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.7% · before adjusting for past results 57.9% · the book's price implies 48.5% · gap +2.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Gunnar Helm
under 2.5 receptions
Receptions Under 2.5 +106 (2.06) · $100→$206
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.60 Odds+106
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gunnar Helm is Under 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 5:02AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Helm caught five of nine targets for 76 yards during Sunday's 43-36 overtime loss to the Bengals.
updated Nov 2, 3:29AM UTC · 12d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions57.9%50.7%48.5%2.20+9.3%

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AI Analysis

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Cincinnati Bengals vs Tennessee Titans: Gunnar Helm Under 2.5 Receptions (+106)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For this bet to win, Gunnar Helm needs to have fewer than 3 receptions against the Titans. This is a reasonable pick because the Bengals' defense has been pretty solid, and Helm hasn't been a major target lately. Since the matchup is rated close to a coin flip, it shows there's a chance Helm could go either way. One risk to consider is that the Titans can put up a good fight, which might lead to more passing attempts. However, Helm's recent performance suggests he might not be heavily involved in the game plan. With the Bengals at home, they might focus more on their top receivers, making this bet look promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (21 picks) 66.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards204 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–79.5model over41%tips tracked204

Gunnar Helm's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 204 times, typically around a 24.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions41 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5model over47%tips tracked41

Gunnar Helm's NFL receptions prop has been priced 41 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
15%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Gunnar Helm's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 15%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals Receptions 2.5 Under +106 ✗ MISS
01 Nov 26 Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals Receiving Yards 21.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over +320 ✗ MISS
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Gunnar Helm (TEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 66.7% on tracked Gunnar Helm picks. The latest model pick for Gunnar Helm is Under 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday 1 November at Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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