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NFL

Ben VanSumeren

KC

Value call

Ben VanSumeren has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $5,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
5 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 4.6% · before adjusting for past results 10.7% · the book's price implies 2.0% · gap +2.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Ben VanSumeren
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +5000 (51.00) · $100→$5,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 5 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$510.00 Odds+5000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ben VanSumeren is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 5 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 5%, the price says 2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 5:50PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
updated Nov 2, 7:04PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD10.7%4.6%2.0%51.00+8.7%

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AI Analysis

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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Ben VanSumeren Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+4000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Ben VanSumeren to score a touchdown tonight, the Broncos need to use their passing game effectively against the Chiefs' defense. Denver's quarterback has been facing extra rushers quite a bit this season, which could lead to quick passes and opportunities for VanSumeren. The Chiefs have struggled a bit against tight ends, so he might find a gap to sneak through. However, this is a long shot since VanSumeren is seen as an outsider in this matchup. Plus, both teams have had their ups and downs this season, making it tough to predict how they'll perform. Still, if the Broncos focus on their passing and exploit the Chiefs' weaknesses, VanSumeren could find the end zone.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17

Ben VanSumeren's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
14 Sep 26 Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ben VanSumeren (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ben VanSumeren is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos on Sunday 1 November at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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