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The latest Bet Better model pick for Keon Coleman is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 35%, for a model edge of +15.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:41PM UTC
NFL

Keon Coleman

BUF

+15.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +185 (2.85)
+15.1% Edge
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Coleman has impressed Buffalo's coaching staff with his offseason preparation and performance at minicamp, Alaina Getzenberg of ESPN.com reports.
updated Jul 13, 4:08PM UTC · 8d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
35.1%
Model Edge
+15.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—35.1%1.99+15.1%

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AI Analysis

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Keon Coleman (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+185)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The prop bet for Keon Coleman to score a touchdown at any time during the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins game doesn't look promising when considering his recent performance and trends. Coleman's overall hit rate for scoring a touchdown is low at 4 out of 18 attempts. This hit rate is even lower when he's playing at home (2 out of 9 attempts) and when playing against Miami (0 out of 2 attempts). His recent performance also doesn't suggest a high likelihood of a touchdown - he hasn't scored in his last three games overall, his last three home games, or his last three games versus Miami. His current streak for all these categories is also 0. While there is a model edge of 0.151, the statistical data points to a low probability of Coleman scoring a touchdown in this game. Thus, betting on him to do so may not be the best choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Keon Coleman's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards5 lines trackedNo line posted
21.5typical line · receiving yds
line range20.5–22.5tips tracked5

Keon Coleman's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 5 times, typically around a 21.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Keon Coleman (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keon Coleman is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.1% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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