Jalen Nailor has one live pick today: over 4.5 receiving yards that pays $114 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
28.4 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 91.2% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +3.5%.
Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Raiders
@
San Francisco 49ers
Jalen Nailor
over 4.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 4.5
-714 (1.14) · $100→$114
Value call
HIGHWins about 91 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$11.40
Odds-714
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Nailor is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 91%, the price says 88%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Jalen Nailor playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Jalen Nailor is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Nailor caught all four targets for 38 yards in Sunday's 38-33 win over the Jets.
updated Nov 2, 4:11AM UTC · 6d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 91.2% | — | 87.7% | 1.14 | +3.5% |
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Jalen Nailor (LV) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate (-714)
Odds correct at time of publishing
San Francisco 49ers play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jalen Nailor (LV) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jalen Nailor's lines for Sun 8 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5
Jalen Nailor's receiving yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Receptions 2.5
+141 best over price · 15 books
Jalen Nailor's receptions line is 2.5, best over price +141 across 15 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5
Jalen Nailor's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersO 4.5 -714 4.5posted line · receiving yds
Jalen Nailor has a live NFL receiving yards market for Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers: over 4.5 receiving yds priced at -714.
ReceptionsNext game · Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ersU 2.5 -182 2.5posted line · receptions
Jalen Nailor has a live NFL receptions market for Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers: under 2.5 receptions priced at -182.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets |
Receptions (Alt) |
2.5 |
Over |
+238 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets |
Receptions |
1.5 |
Over |
-123 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets |
Receptions (Alt) |
1.5 |
Over |
-127 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Jalen Nailor (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Nailor is Over 4.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers on Sunday 8 November at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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