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NFL

Darnell Washington

PIT

Value call

Darnell Washington has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $219 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
45 in 100
Predicted
2.9 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 44.7% · before adjusting for past results 54.6% · the book's price implies 45.7% · gap -1.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Darnell Washington
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions Over 2.5 +119 (2.19) · $100→$219
Value call
LEANWins about 45 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.90 Odds+119
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darnell Washington is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 45%, the price says 46%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 4:47PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Washington caught three of five targets for 94 yards during Sunday's 27-6 win over the Browns.
updated Nov 2, 3:38AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions54.6%44.7%45.7%2.33+9.0%

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns: Darnell Washington Over 2.5 Receptions (+119)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Darnell Washington to have over 2.5 receptions tonight, he needs to find a way to get open against the Browns' defense. The Steelers have leaned more on their running game, but Washington can still be a key target for their quarterback, especially since Cleveland's pass rush has been a bit much at times. It's a close matchup, and both offenses have struggled with pressure. Washington might face similar challenges, but he has a good shot at catching those short passes. Just keep in mind that the game could be tight, and sometimes that leads to fewer opportunities.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (23 picks) 56.5% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards63 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over51%tips tracked63

Darnell Washington's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 63 times, typically around a 24.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions50 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–5.5model over54%tips tracked50

Darnell Washington's NFL receptions prop has been priced 50 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Darnell Washington's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Darnell Washington average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions 2.5 Over +119 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions (Alt) 2.5 Over +114 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions (Alt) 3.5 Over +289 ✗ MISS
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Darnell Washington (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 56.5% on tracked Darnell Washington picks. The latest model pick for Darnell Washington is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 1 November at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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