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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Darnell Washington is Under 22.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +19.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:21PM UTC
NFL

Darnell Washington

PIT

+19.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 22.5 -112 (1.89)
+19.5% Edge
Miami Dolphins @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
The Steelers and Washington agreed to terms on a four-year, $42 million extension Wednesday, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.
updated Jun 4, 1:50AM UTC · 47d old
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Model Probability
72.4%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+19.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards72.4%52.9%1.38+19.5%

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AI Analysis

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Darnell Washington (PIT) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Darnell Washington to go under 22.5 reception yards is supported by his recent performance and overall trends. Washington's recent performance has been underwhelming, as evidenced by his overall hit rate of 0 in his last 5 games. His performance at home has been similarly disappointing, with a hit rate of 0 in his last 5 home games. Further supporting the under bet is his overall hit rate of 17 out of 33 games and a home hit rate of 8 out of 17 games, indicating that he falls below the 22.5 yards threshold more often than not. His current hit streak is also 0, both overall and at home, suggesting that his recent form is unlikely to improve in the upcoming game against the Miami Dolphins. The model edge of 0.1946 also suggests a statistical advantage in favor of the under bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
22.5typical line · receiving yds
tips tracked1

Darnell Washington's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 22.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Darnell Washington (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Darnell Washington is Under 22.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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