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Eli Heidenreich

PIT

Value call

Eli Heidenreich has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.0% · before adjusting for past results 11.7% · the book's price implies 4.4% · gap +3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Eli Heidenreich
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 8 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$230.00 Odds+2200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Eli Heidenreich is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 2:02AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
updated Oct 12, 7:36PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD11.7%8.0%4.4%23.00+7.3%

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts: Eli Heidenreich Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1800)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Pittsburgh Steelers are set to take on the Indianapolis Colts, and this matchup has some interesting angles. The Steelers' defense is tough, especially against running backs, giving up the fewest touchdowns in that category last season. But the Colts' quarterback has faced extra rushers often, which could lead to some big plays if he connects with his targets. Eli Heidenreich is stepping up in this game, and at those odds, he's a strong pick to find the end zone. Heidenreich might be seen as an outsider, but with the Colts' struggles against tight ends, he has a real chance. Just remember, the Colts have held their ground in the past, so it could be a close one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Eli Heidenreich's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 26 Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Eli Heidenreich (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Eli Heidenreich is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 11 October at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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