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NFL

Aaron Jones

MIN

+13.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +175 (2.75)
+13.8% Edge
Baltimore Ravens @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
36.4%
Model Edge
+13.8%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Aaron Jones (MIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Aaron Jones to score a touchdown at any time during the Vikings vs Ravens game carries a degree of risk, given his recent performance and hit rates. Looking at Jones' overall hit rate, he has scored in just 14 of his last 52 games, indicating a less than 27% success rate. Even when considering his performance at home, his hit rate is only 9 out of 25, or 36%. Furthermore, Jones has been on a dry spell recently, with no touchdowns scored in his last 5 games overall, and none in his last 3 home games. His home hit rate over the last 10 games is 50% (5/10), which is encouraging but not consistent. Based on these statistics, betting on Jones to score a touchdown in this game seems less predictable, pointing towards a potential higher-risk bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Aaron Jones (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Jones is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.8% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Minnesota Vikings at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.