Jaylen Waddle has one live pick today: over 29.5 receiving yards that pays $128 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
54.4 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 87.4% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +9.3%.
Latest Model PickFree
Seattle Seahawks
@
Denver Broncos
Jaylen Waddle
over 29.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 29.5
-357 (1.28) · $100→$128
Value call
HIGHWins about 87 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$12.80
Odds-357
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylen Waddle is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 87%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Jaylen Waddle playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Jaylen Waddle is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Waddle corralled two of five targets for 19 yards and also had a nine-yard carry during Sunday's 23-17 road win against the Chargers.
updated Oct 12, 1:07AM UTC · 2d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 87.4% | — | 78.1% | 1.28 | +9.3% |
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Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks: Jaylen Waddle Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-357)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The odds of -357 for Jaylen Waddle to have over 29.5 receiving yards look pretty good. Our numbers see him as a strong favourite to hit that mark against the Seahawks. Waddle has been in solid form, and the Broncos' defense has struggled against quick receivers like him.
The concrete risk here is how closely matched these two teams can be at times. If the game gets tight, they might focus more on running the ball. Still, with Waddle's talent, he should be able to find ways to get open and rack up those yards.
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Jaylen Waddle's lines for Fri 16 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receptions 4.5
+115 best over price · 11 books
Jaylen Waddle's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +115 across 11 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Jaylen Waddle's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Seattle SeahawksO 29.5 -357 29.5posted line · receiving yds
Jaylen Waddle has a live NFL receiving yards market for Seattle Seahawks: over 29.5 receiving yds priced at -357.
ReceptionsNext game · Seattle SeahawksU 4.5 -147 4.5posted line · receptions
Jaylen Waddle has a live NFL receptions market for Seattle Seahawks: under 4.5 receptions priced at -147.
Anytime TD10 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked10
Jaylen Waddle's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 10 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receptions |
4.5 |
Under |
+109 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
14.5 |
Over |
-1429 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards |
56.5 |
Under |
-112 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Jaylen Waddle (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaylen Waddle is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos on Thursday 15 October at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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