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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylen Waddle is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 33%, for a model edge of +16.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL

Jaylen Waddle

MIA

+16.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +200 (3.00)
+16.9% Edge
New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
33.3%
Model Edge
+16.9%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—33.3%1.99+16.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jaylen Waddle (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Statistically, betting on Jaylen Waddle to score a touchdown anytime during the Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets game seems to be a risky proposition. Waddle's overall hit rate is low, with only 12 successes out of 51 opportunities. His recent performance is especially concerning, with no successful hits across his last five games. His home game performance, where he has a hit rate of 7/23, and performance against the Jets, where he has a hit rate of 1/6, only slightly improve his odds. His current streak in all categories is zero, indicating a recent lack of success in scoring touchdowns. The model's edge of 0.168792102683558 means there is a slight statistical advantage, but considering Waddle's recent and overall performance, this bet is more of a long shot than a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD10 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked10

Jaylen Waddle's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 10 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jaylen Waddle (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaylen Waddle is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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