Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylen Waddle is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 14 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 14%, the price says 10%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:02PM UTC
NFL
Jaylen Waddle
DEN
Jaylen Waddle has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,050 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+950 (10.50) · $100→$1,050
Value call
Los Angeles Rams
@
Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Mon 28 Sep, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Waddle brought in eight of 10 targets for 138 yards in the Broncos' 20-13 win over the Jaguars on Sunday.
updated Sep 21, 1:01AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
14 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 14.0% · the book's price implies 9.5% · gap +4.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 14.0% | — | 9.5% | 10.50 | +4.5% |
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Jaylen Waddle (DEN) Yes Player last td (+950)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Denver Broncos play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Monday 28 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jaylen Waddle (DEN) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +950 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $105 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jaylen Waddle's lines for Mon 28 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Jaylen Waddle's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD10 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked10
Jaylen Waddle's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 10 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jaylen Waddle (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaylen Waddle is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos on Monday 28 September at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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