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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kalif Raymond is Under 1.5 on Receptions.
On the Receptions market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 58%, for a model edge of +13.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NFL

Kalif Raymond

DET

+13.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receptions Under 1.5 -141 (1.71)
+13.4% Edge
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.8%
Implied Probability
58.5%
Model Edge
+13.4%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions71.8%58.5%1.39+13.4%

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AI Analysis

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Kalif Raymond (DET) Under 1.5 Receptions (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Statistical analysis suggests that betting on Kalif Raymond for "Under 1.5" in the 'player_receptions' market is a reasonable choice. Raymond's overall hit rate against the Bears is notably low at just 1/6, which places him under the mark. It's worth noting that this trend continues even when playing at home against the Bears, with an underwhelming hit rate of 1/3. Raymond's recent performance doesn't inspire confidence either, his last five games overall have resulted in a hit rate of 2/5, and at home, this rate remains the same. Furthermore, his current hit streak in all the categories is zero, implying he hasn't been performing well lately in terms of receptions. In conclusion, based on Raymond's low hit rates and current form, betting on him for "Under 1.5" in player receptions is statistically justified.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions4 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–1.5tips tracked4

Kalif Raymond's NFL receptions prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range13.5–13.5tips tracked2

Kalif Raymond's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kalif Raymond (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kalif Raymond is Under 1.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.4% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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