John Bates has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
12 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 12.5% · the book's price implies 7.1% · gap +5.3%.
Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Rams
@
Washington Commanders
John Bates
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD
Yes
+1300 (14.00) · $100→$1,400
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 12 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$140.00
Odds+1300
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Bates is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 12 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 12%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is John Bates playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. John Bates is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
updated Nov 6, 10:41PM UTC · 1d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 12.5% | — | 7.1% | 14.00 | +5.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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John Bates (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1300)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Washington Commanders play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is John Bates (WAS) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +1300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $140 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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John Bates's lines for Sun 8 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+1100 best over price · 8 books
John Bates's anytime td line is posted, best over price +1100 across 8 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Los Angeles RamsAnytime TD +1200
John Bates has a live NFL anytime td market for Los Angeles Rams priced at +1200.
Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–1.5tips tracked2
John Bates's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–29.5model over42%tips tracked4
John Bates's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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John Bates (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Bates is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders on Sunday 8 November at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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