Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

John Bates

WAS

Value call

John Bates has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,800 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.7% · before adjusting for past results 12.0% · the book's price implies 5.6% · gap +3.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Mon 19 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
John Bates
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1700 (18.00) · $100→$1,800
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$180.00 Odds+1700
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for John Bates is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 1:41AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD12.0%8.7%5.6%18.00+6.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders: John Bates Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1700)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on John Bates to score a touchdown at +1700 is exciting because it gives a chance for a big payout. The San Francisco 49ers struggled against tight ends last season, allowing almost as many touchdowns as the worst team in the league. Bates could find some open looks against this defense, especially since they've been weak in that area. On the flip side, the Washington Commanders' quarterback has faced fewer extra rushers compared to the league average, which might give him a bit more time to find Bates. However, the 49ers' defense is still tough overall. While Bates scoring isn't a sure thing, the odds make it worth a shot if he gets a chance in the red zone.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

John Bates's lines for Tue 20 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Anytime TD
+1100 best over price · 1 book

John Bates's anytime td line is posted, best over price +1100 across 1 book.

Betting angles

1 market live
Anytime TDNext game · San Francisco 49ersAnytime TD +1800

John Bates has a live NFL anytime td market for San Francisco 49ers priced at +1800.

Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–1.5tips tracked2

John Bates's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–29.5model over42%tips tracked4

John Bates's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does John Bates average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

John Bates (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for John Bates is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers on Monday 19 October at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.