John Bates (WAS) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (+144)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Analyzing the provided data, the bet on John Bates for over 14.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market does not seem favorable. Bates has a poor overall hit rate of 11/43. His performance at home is not promising either, with a hit rate of 6/20. Bates' recent performance is particularly concerning, as he has not hit the over in his last 5 overall games or his last 5 home games. Additionally, his current hit streak in all categories is zero, indicating a recent underperformance.
Although Bates has had some success against the Philadelphia Eagles, with a hit rate of 2/5, his performance at home against this team is less impressive at 1/3. The model edge of 0.0145 indicates a very slight advantage, but given Bates' recent performance and hit rates, this bet carries significant risk.