Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ashton Jeanty is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 64%, implied 55%, edge +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 7, 8:24PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
-120 (1.83) · $100→$183
+9.7% Edge
Miami Dolphins
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Coach Klint Kubiak expressed optimism Wednesday that Jeanty (ankle) will be ready for Week 1 against the Dolphins, Adam Hill of the Las Vegas Review-Journal reports.
updated Sep 2, 4:45PM UTC · 5d old
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How often this wins
64 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 64.3% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +9.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 64.3% | — | 54.6% | 1.83 | +9.7% |
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Ashton Jeanty (LV) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ashton Jeanty (LV) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Ashton Jeanty's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
-125 best over price · 7 booksQuestionable
Ashton Jeanty's anytime td line is posted, best over price -125 across 7 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas RaidersAnytime TD -120
Ashton Jeanty has a live NFL anytime td market for Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders priced at -120.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Ashton Jeanty (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ashton Jeanty is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 13 September at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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