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NFL

Ashton Jeanty

LV

Value call

Ashton Jeanty has one live pick today: over 39.5 rushing yards that pays $300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
42.7 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 39.2% · before adjusting for past results 52.8% · the book's price implies 33.3% · gap +5.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Ashton Jeanty
over 39.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 39.5 +200 (3.00) · $100→$300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$30.00 Odds+200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ashton Jeanty is Over 39.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 33%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 4:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Jeanty rushed six times for 25 yards while catching five of seven targets for minus-5 yards in Sunday's 38-17 loss to the 49ers.
updated Nov 9, 2:04AM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)52.8%39.2%33.3%3.00+19.5%

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AI Analysis

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Ashton Jeanty (LV) Over 39.5 Player rush yds alternate (+200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

San Francisco 49ers play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ashton Jeanty (LV) Over 39.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD16 lines trackedNo line posted
61%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked16

Ashton Jeanty's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 16 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 61%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions52 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over55%tips tracked52

Ashton Jeanty's NFL receptions prop has been priced 52 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards84 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over54%tips tracked84

Ashton Jeanty's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 84 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards151 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–69.5model over98%tips tracked151

Ashton Jeanty's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 151 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Ashton Jeanty average?How many receiving yards does Ashton Jeanty average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers Receiving Yards 35.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Attempts (Alt) 5.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers Receptions — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers Rushing Attempts (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ashton Jeanty (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ashton Jeanty is Over 39.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers on Sunday 8 November at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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