Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Javonte Williams is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 22, 6:53PM UTC
NFL
Javonte Williams
DAL
Javonte Williams has one live pick today: Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 49.5 that pays $1,220 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 49.5
+1120 (12.20) · $100→$1,220
Value call
Baltimore Ravens
@
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Williams rushed 12 times for 30 yards and brought in three of four targets for 20 yards in the Cowboys' 37-20 win over the Commanders on Sunday.
updated Sep 21, 1:44AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
22.4 Receiving Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 11.3% · the book's price implies 8.2% · gap +3.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 11.3% | — | 8.2% | 12.20 | +3.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Javonte Williams (DAL) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate (+1120)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Dallas Cowboys play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Javonte Williams (DAL) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at +1120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $122 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Javonte Williams's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Javonte Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Javonte Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards 18.5
-114 best over price · 1 book
Javonte Williams's receiving yards line is 18.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.
Rushing Attempts (Alt) 9.5
Javonte Williams's rushing attempts (alt) line is 9.5.
Rushing Attempts 14.5
Javonte Williams's rushing attempts line is 14.5.
Rush + Rec Yards 82.5
Javonte Williams's rush + rec yards line is 82.5.
Rush + Rec Yards 79.5
Javonte Williams's rush + rec yards line is 79.5.
Receptions 3.5
+116 best over price · 10 books
Javonte Williams's receptions line is 3.5, best over price +116 across 10 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Baltimore RavensO 39.5 +620 39.5posted line · receiving yds
Javonte Williams has a live NFL receiving yards market for Baltimore Ravens: over 39.5 receiving yds priced at +620.
ReceptionsNext game · Baltimore RavensU 3.5 -147 3.5posted line · receptions
Javonte Williams has a live NFL receptions market for Baltimore Ravens: under 3.5 receptions priced at -147.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys |
Receptions (Alt) |
1.5 |
Over |
-323 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
4.5 |
Over |
-435 |
✓ HIT |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 20 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Javonte Williams (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Javonte Williams is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Dallas Cowboys on Sunday 27 September at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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