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NFL

Bijan Robinson

ATL

Value call

Bijan Robinson has one live pick today: under 124.5 rush rec yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
107.4 Rush + Rec Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 64.2% · before adjusting for past results 73.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +11.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Bijan Robinson
under 124.5 rush rec yards
Rush + Rec Yards Under 124.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bijan Robinson is Under 124.5 on Rush + Rec Yards.
On Rush + Rec Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 29, 6:59AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Robinson (hamstring) officially didn't practice Wednesday, Tori McElhaney of the Falcons' official site reports.
updated Oct 28, 7:58PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush + Rec Yards73.1%64.2%53.2%2.00+19.9%

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers: Bijan Robinson Under 124.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Bijan Robinson has been a key player for the Atlanta Falcons, but this matchup against the San Francisco 49ers is tough. The 49ers' defense has been strong, especially against the run, which could limit Bijan's opportunities. In the 2026 season, the Falcons were better at running the ball than throwing it, but even with that, they struggled to rack up points. The 49ers' defense is known for applying pressure, and they often use extra rushers. This could mean Bijan faces more defenders, making it harder for him to get those rushing and receiving yards. While there's a good chance for Bijan to shine, the risk is that the 49ers' tough defense might keep his yardage lower than expected.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards25 lines trackedNo line posted
28.5typical line · receiving yds
line range24.5–43.5tips tracked25

Bijan Robinson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 25 times, typically around a 28.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions17 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–5.5tips tracked17

Bijan Robinson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 17 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards122 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · rushing yds
line range39.5–109.5model over99%tips tracked122

Bijan Robinson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 122 times, typically around a 39.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Bijan Robinson average?How many receiving yards does Bijan Robinson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Rush + Rec Yards 124.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5 Over -345 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Rush + Rec Yards 122.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Receiving Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bijan Robinson (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bijan Robinson is Under 124.5 on Rush + Rec Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons on Sunday 25 October at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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