Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jahmyr Gibbs is Over 59.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 93%, the price says 79%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:06PM UTC
NFL
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET
Jahmyr Gibbs has one live pick today: Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 59.5 that pays $126 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 59.5
-385 (1.26) · $100→$126
Value call
New York Jets
@
Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Gibbs rushed 16 times for 52 yards and brought in six of eight targets for 61 yards and a touchdown in the Lions' 41-31 loss to the Bills on Thursday.
updated Sep 18, 3:53AM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
83.0 Rushing Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 92.7% · the book's price implies 79.4% · gap +13.3%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 92.7% | — | 79.4% | 1.26 | +13.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Over 59.5 Player rush yds alternate (-385)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Over 59.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jahmyr Gibbs's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5
Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5
Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 69.5
Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards (alt) line is 69.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards 84.5
-105 best over price · 6 books
Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards line is 84.5, best over price -105 across 6 books.
Rush + Rec Yards 123.5
Jahmyr Gibbs's rush + rec yards line is 123.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveRushing YardsNext game · New York JetsO 59.5 -385 59.5posted line · rushing yds
Jahmyr Gibbs has a live NFL rushing yards market for New York Jets: over 59.5 rushing yds priced at -385.
Receiving Yards18 lines trackedNo line posted 30.5typical line · receiving yds
line range20.5–30.5tips tracked18
Jahmyr Gibbs's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 18 times, typically around a 30.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
81%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9
Jahmyr Gibbs's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 81%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions16 lines trackedNo line posted 4.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–4.5tips tracked16
Jahmyr Gibbs's NFL receptions prop has been priced 16 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards |
30.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jahmyr Gibbs is Over 59.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.3% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 27 September at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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