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Jahmyr Gibbs

DET

Value call

Jahmyr Gibbs has one live pick today: under 40.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
31.8 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +18.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Jahmyr Gibbs
under 40.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 40.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jahmyr Gibbs is Under 40.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 6:28PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Jahmyr Gibbs playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Jahmyr Gibbs is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Gibbs rushed 25 times for 151 yards and two touchdowns while bringing in five of six targets for 56 yards in the Lions' 45-21 win over the Cardinals on Sunday.
updated Oct 12, 12:27AM UTC · 10d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards71.9%—53.2%1.99+18.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers: Jahmyr Gibbs Under 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Detroit Lions are hosting the Green Bay Packers, and it's a big matchup in the NFC North. Jahmyr Gibbs has been making plays, but the Packers' defense is pretty strong against the pass. With both teams fighting for playoff spots, expect a hard-fought game where they might lean more on their rushing attacks. Our numbers show a good chance for Gibbs to stay under 40.5 receiving yards. One risk is that if the game turns into a shootout, he might get more chances to catch the ball. Still, with the way both defenses are playing, it seems likely that Gibbs won't reach that number today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jahmyr Gibbs's lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 40.5
-111 best over price · 2 books

Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving yards line is 40.5, best over price -111 across 2 books.

Receiving Yards 39.5
-110 best over price · 9 books

Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving yards line is 39.5, best over price -110 across 9 books.

Receiving Yards 38.5
-125 best over price · 1 book

Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving yards line is 38.5, best over price -125 across 1 book.

Receiving Yards 37.5
-125 best over price · 1 book

Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving yards line is 37.5, best over price -125 across 1 book.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 69.5

Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards (alt) line is 69.5.

Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5

Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards (alt) line is 59.5.

Rushing Attempts 20.5

Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing attempts line is 20.5.

Rushing Yards 94.5
-105 best over price · 1 book

Jahmyr Gibbs's rushing yards line is 94.5, best over price -105 across 1 book.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Anytime TDNext game · Green Bay PackersAnytime TD -323

Jahmyr Gibbs has a live NFL anytime td market for Green Bay Packers priced at -323.

Receiving YardsNext game · Green Bay PackersU 40.5 -114
40.5posted line · receiving yds

Jahmyr Gibbs has a live NFL receiving yards market for Green Bay Packers: under 40.5 receiving yds priced at -114.

Rushing YardsNext game · Green Bay PackersO 69.5 -333
69.5posted line · rushing yds

Jahmyr Gibbs has a live NFL rushing yards market for Green Bay Packers: over 69.5 rushing yds priced at -333.

Receptions17 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–4.5tips tracked17

Jahmyr Gibbs's NFL receptions prop has been priced 17 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Rushing Yards (Alt) 69.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over -909 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jahmyr Gibbs is Under 40.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 25 October at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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