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Jahmyr Gibbs

DET

+16.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Receiving Yards Under 20.5 -110 (1.91)
+16.7% Edge
Cleveland Browns @ Detroit Lions
Detroit
Model Probability
69.0%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Model Edge
+16.7%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical evidence strongly supports a bet on Jahmyr Gibbs to finish with Under 20.5 reception yards in the Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns game. Gibbs has a concerning hit rate in recent games, failing to exceed this yardage total in his last three games overall (0/3) and at home (0/3). This trend extends to his last five and ten games, with hit rates of 0/5 and 1/10 respectively. Furthermore, his overall hit rate stands at a mere 16/39 and is marginally better at home with a hit rate of 7/20. The model edge of 0.16683208179332 also supports this bet, suggesting that there is a significant statistical advantage in predicting Gibbs to underperform. Furthermore, Gibbs is not currently on a hit streak, implying that his recent form doesn't command confidence to bet on him exceeding this yardage total.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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