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NFL

New England Patriots

Next game: the Patriots host the Raiders on Sunday 11 October. The market makes the Patriots about a 6 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $1.59. They have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10 regular-season games. See the game preview

Won-lost2-2
At home1-0
Points a game16.3
Last 4LWLW
Next Game: vs Las Vegas Raiders (Home) Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET New England Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots
New England Patriots
to win by 4+ points
New England Patriots -3.5 Spread
LEAN
Our numbers say this wins about 50 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 50% chance to land.

+5.1%
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Model updated Oct 10, 8:12PM UTC
Answer
The New England Patriots model is leaning New England Patriots on the spread in the Spread market vs Las Vegas Raiders.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
SpreadWith Pro
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro
Team TotalWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro
Total PointsWith Pro

The model has graded 6 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Patriots about 6 in 10 to win. Now: about 6 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Raidersabout 4 in 10$2.70 (+170)$2.64 (+164)
Patriotsabout 6 in 10$1.59 (-169)$1.57 (-175)

On this game the bookies keep about $3.90 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 20 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

New England Patriots same game parlay

On game day

The model builds its New England Patriots same game parlay on game day, once every market for the game is priced. Their next game is against Las Vegas Raiders on Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET. Check back that morning and the ticket will be here.

Want today's board now? Every game's parlay is on the NFL parlays page.

Patriots schedule and results, 2026

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotalGame
Wed 9 Sepat Seattle SeahawksL 10-13PushUnder 44.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepvs Pittsburgh SteelersW 20-3Covered (favourite by 4.5)Under 41.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepat Jacksonville JaguarsL 6-35Missed (underdog by 3)Under 46.5Game page
Sun 4 Octat Buffalo BillsW 29-26Covered (underdog by 7)Over 49.5Game page
Sun 11 Octvs Las Vegas RaidersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 18 Octvs New York JetsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Thu 22 Octat Chicago BearsUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET–––
Sun 1 Novat Miami DolphinsUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET–––
Sun 8 Novvs Green Bay PackersUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET–––
Sun 15 Novat Detroit LionsUpcoming · 9:30 AM ET–––
Sun 29 Novat Los Angeles ChargersUpcoming · 8:20 PM ET––Preview
Sun 6 Decvs Buffalo BillsUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET––Preview
Thu 10 Decvs Minnesota VikingsUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET–––
Mon 21 Decat Kansas City ChiefsUpcoming · 8:15 PM ET–––
Sun 27 Decat New York JetsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 3 Janvs Denver BroncosUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 10 Janvs Miami DolphinsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––

Spread and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Patriots cover the spread

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Patriots covered the spread in 12 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 7 of 8 away. Their games went over the total 11 times in 17. So far in 2026: covered in 2 of 4 (1 push), and over in 1 of 4.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
2026 (so far)1 of 11 of 3 (1 push)2 of 4 (1 push)0 of 11 of 31 of 4
20255 of 97 of 812 of 176 of 95 of 811 of 17
20244 of 83 of 9 (1 push)7 of 17 (1 push)7 of 84 of 911 of 17
20231 of 9 (1 push)4 of 85 of 17 (1 push)3 of 94 of 87 of 17
20223 of 84 of 9 (1 push)7 of 17 (1 push)3 of 85 of 98 of 17
20215 of 95 of 810 of 176 of 93 of 89 of 17
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the spread, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

What the Patriots defense gives up

  • Among the 5 fewest receiving yards given up to tight ends this season: 26 a game.

See every NFL defense vs position

Patriots injuries

Updated 9 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
A.J. BrownWRInjured reserveAnkleabout 22 Oct
Carlton Davis IIICBOutNeckabout 18 Oct
Channing CanadaCBOutHamstringabout 18 Oct
Christian GonzalezCBOutShoulderabout 18 Oct
Karon PruntyCBOutHamstringabout 18 Oct
Mack HollinsWROutCalfabout 18 Oct
Reggie GilliamFBOutAnkleabout 18 Oct
Charles WoodsCBQuestionableShoulderabout 11 Oct
Christian BarmoreDTQuestionableShoulderabout 11 Oct
Christian EllissLBQuestionableChestabout 11 Oct
Craig WoodsonSQuestionableShoulderabout 11 Oct
Dre'Mont JonesDEQuestionableShoulderabout 11 Oct
Morgan MosesOTQuestionableFootabout 11 Oct
Rhamondre StevensonRBQuestionableKneeabout 11 Oct

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Roof
Outdoors
Surface
Turf
Wind
14 mph
Temp
33°F
Gillette Stadium
Season-pending — reflects the most recent scheduled home fixture on file, not necessarily a live upcoming game.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Moneylinevs Las Vegas Raiders-196
68%model win %

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point Spreadvs Las Vegas Raiders-3.5 -115
57%cover %

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsGame totalOver 44.5 -118
55%over %

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Questions about the Patriots

When do the Patriots play next?

The Patriots host the Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 11 October 2026.

How often do the Patriots cover the spread?

In the 2025 regular season the Patriots covered the spread in 12 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 7 of 8 away. So far in 2026: covered in 2 of 4 (1 push).

How often do Patriots games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Patriots games went over the total 11 times in 17. So far in 2026: over in 1 of 4.

Who is injured for the Patriots?

14 players are on the injury list as of 9 October: A.J. Brown (ankle), Carlton Davis III (neck), Channing Canada (hamstring), Christian Gonzalez (shoulder), Karon Prunty (hamstring), and 9 more.

Where can I see the Patriots' next game preview?

Bet Better's Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

New England Patriots are tracked by the Bet Better model across NFL games. Their next game is against Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 11 October. Use the data above to inform your NFL betting decisions for New England Patriots.

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