Khalil Herbert has one live pick today: under 0.5 receptions that pays $252 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
31 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 31.0% · before adjusting for past results 49.2% · the book's price implies 39.7% · gap -8.6%.
Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs
@
Atlanta Falcons
Khalil Herbert
under 0.5 receptions
Receptions
Under 0.5
+152 (2.52) · $100→$252
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 31 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$25.20
Odds+152
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Khalil Herbert is Under 0.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 31 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 31%, the price says 40%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Khalil Herbert playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Khalil Herbert is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Herbert carried the ball once for seven yards and caught two of his three targets for two yards during Atlanta's loss to the Bengals on Sunday.
updated Nov 11, 2:20AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 49.2% | 31.0% | 39.7% | 2.69 | +9.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Khalil Herbert (ATL) Under 0.5 Receptions (+152)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Atlanta Falcons play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Khalil Herbert (ATL) Under 0.5 Receptions. It was priced at +152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $25.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Khalil Herbert's lines for Sun 15 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions 0.5
-167 best over price · 11 books
Khalil Herbert's receptions line is 0.5, best over price -167 across 11 books.
Rush + Rec Yards 17.5
Khalil Herbert's rush + rec yards line is 17.5.
Rush + Rec Yards 16.5
Khalil Herbert's rush + rec yards line is 16.5.
Rush + Rec Yards 14.5
Khalil Herbert's rush + rec yards line is 14.5.
Receptions (Alt) 2.5
-167 best over price · 11 books
Khalil Herbert's receptions (alt) line is 2.5, best over price -167 across 11 books.
Receptions (Alt) 3.5
-167 best over price · 11 books
Khalil Herbert's receptions (alt) line is 3.5, best over price -167 across 11 books.
Receiving Yards 3.5
-114 best over price · 3 books
Khalil Herbert's receiving yards line is 3.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Khalil Herbert's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Betting angles
4 markets liveReceptionsNext game · Kansas City ChiefsU 0.5 +152 0.5posted line · receptions
Khalil Herbert has a live NFL receptions market for Kansas City Chiefs: under 0.5 receptions priced at +152.
Receiving YardsNext game · Kansas City ChiefsU 3.5 -111 3.5posted line · receiving yds
Khalil Herbert has a live NFL receiving yards market for Kansas City Chiefs: under 3.5 receiving yds priced at -111.
Rushing YardsNext game · Kansas City ChiefsO 19.5 +300 19.5posted line · rushing yds
Khalil Herbert has a live NFL rushing yards market for Kansas City Chiefs: over 19.5 rushing yds priced at +300.
Anytime TDNext game · Kansas City ChiefsAnytime TD +750
Khalil Herbert has a live NFL anytime td market for Kansas City Chiefs priced at +750.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rushing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Rushing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 25 Oct 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons |
Rushing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Khalil Herbert (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Khalil Herbert is Under 0.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons on Sunday 15 November at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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