Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Antonio Williams

WAS

Value call

Antonio Williams has one live pick today: under 39.5 receiving yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
31.5 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.9% · before adjusting for past results 71.0% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -2.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Thu 12 Nov, 8:15 PM ET
Antonio Williams
under 39.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 39.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.90 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Antonio Williams is Under 39.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 5:24AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Williams secured both targets for 42 yards and a touchdown in the Commanders' 24-21 win over the Giants on Thursday.
updated Nov 13, 5:30AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards71.0%50.9%52.9%2.00+18.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders: Antonio Williams Under 39.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Antonio Williams has not been the main target for the Giants lately, and the Washington Commanders have a solid defense that can limit his yardage. With both teams focused on their running games, it seems less likely that Williams will get a lot of opportunities to catch passes. Our numbers suggest there's a good chance he won't reach 40 receiving yards. The biggest risk here is that the game could turn into a passing battle, but both teams prefer to run the ball. With Williams not being a top target and facing a tough defense, betting under 39.5 receiving yards feels like a smart choice.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards31 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over62%tips tracked31

Antonio Williams's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 31 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions20 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over23%tips tracked20

Antonio Williams's NFL receptions prop has been priced 20 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
20%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Antonio Williams's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 20%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receptions 3.5 Under +110 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders Receptions 3.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders Receiving Yards 36.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards — — — Pending
12 Nov 26 Washington Commanders @ New York Giants Receiving Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Antonio Williams (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Antonio Williams is Under 39.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs New York Giants on Thursday 12 November at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.