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NFL

Emmett Johnson

KC

Value call

Emmett Johnson has one live pick today: under 8.5 receiving yards that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
14.0 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.4% · before adjusting for past results 60.9% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap -3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Emmett Johnson
under 8.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 8.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Emmett Johnson is Under 8.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Johnson caught his lone target for 10 yards in Sunday's 30-27 win over the Raiders.
updated Oct 6, 1:10AM UTC · 8d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards60.9%48.4%51.8%2.04+9.1%

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AI Analysis

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Emmett Johnson (KC) Under 8.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Emmett Johnson (KC) Under 8.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards26 lines trackedNo line posted
49.5typical line · receiving yds
line range6.5–69.5model over10%tips tracked26

Emmett Johnson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 26 times, typically around a 49.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards52 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–24.5model over78%tips tracked52

Emmett Johnson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 52 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
21%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Emmett Johnson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 21%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions11 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–4.5model over19%tips tracked11

Emmett Johnson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 11 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Emmett Johnson (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Emmett Johnson is Under 8.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 4 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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